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Everything posted by Brian D
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Well, we had rain with some thunder along with 0.1-0.25 ice in various parts of NE MN and our 1st svr warned stm of the year, too, for hail. Then, as things wound down late last night, we got a nice little garnish of snow. If we would have gotten a tornado, then a kitchen sink may have fallen in there too. LOL! Starting tonight into tomorrow, could get a couple inches. Wed is looking pretty good, so far, for a decent hit of snow (possible 6"+)
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Rain moving in with a band of snow across the N areas of the region. Temps are running low 30's inland to mid 30's on the shore. They could see some icing in the inland areas. Windy off the Lake gusting up to 25-30. Looks like the next round will be snow this weekend, but I might be on the N extent. South Shore should do well, and DLH.
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WSWch out for tomorrow. Looks like 1/4" of ice possible here along the North Shore, especially inland areas. Some snow along border as it switches over up there Fri night. 3-6" of snow possible late Sat into Sun with the 2nd LP moving into the region. Rain or snow, but NO ICE, please. In March 2010, we had an ice storm that left 1-2" of ice along the North Shore inland areas, and it decimated the woods. Doesn't look like we will come even close to that, but ice is never good.
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Very nice day today. Low 50's with a cumulus sky. Come Friday, tho, looks like rn/frz rn over to some snow on Sat. GFS keeps flipping me from hvy sn to mix. Other models keeping a mix, which seems more reasonable. If there was a bit more ice on the Lake, then I would have a chance at all snow. Border areas may get a decent hit, tho. Come late Sat into Sun, that 2nd low might turn out pretty good.
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Parent's day in late July looks pretty good with scattered stms. Again, could be pretty warm, even hot for some.
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Come July 4, looking at a CAN front affecting the N areas, and it looks pretty nice, and could be rather warm (hot) for some.
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Juneteenth this year, believe it or not, I gave a forecast for that 4 yrs ago to a troll. Here's my cast for that day. Generally fair with a CAN front pushing in during the day. (I rechecked, and I'm staying with it)
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For Memorial Day this year, I'm expecting a wet end to the holiday weekend. Should start off pretty decent, tho.
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Spring 2025 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Brian D replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Outlook this Spring....warms up, and turns into Summer. -
Crap snow for me in town with only 2", but areas to the N got 4-10". Lots of white rain yesterday aftrn when the snow started back up for me, and it was intermittent. But the precip was very welcome. That's a silver lining.
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Measured 1.9" of snow this morning as a heavy band moved through. Looks like a dry slot for now. We shall see what develops later.
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Davenport WBO reported 2.5". 1936-12-01 0.00 0.0 0 32 19 1936-12-02 0.00 0.0 0 38 27 1936-12-03 T T 0 40 24 1936-12-04 0.00 0.0 0 29 20 1936-12-05 0.65 2.5 2 34 22 1936-12-06 0.00 0.0 1 35 -3 1936-12-07 0.00 0.0 1 22 -3 1936-12-08 0.00 0.0 1 38 22 1936-12-09 0.00 0.0 T 41 32 1936-12-10 T T T 35 7 1936-12-11 0.00 0.0 T 21 2 1936-12-12 0.00 0.0 T 44 18 1936-12-13 0.00 0.0 T 45 25 1936-12-14 0.00 0.0 T 46 35 1936-12-15 0.00 0.0 T 50 29 1936-12-16 0.00 0.0 T 48 32 1936-12-17 0.00 0.0 T 36 29 1936-12-18 0.00 0.0 T 31 28 1936-12-19 0.00 0.0 T 35 24 1936-12-20 0.00 0.0 T 36 26 1936-12-21 0.00 0.0 T 37 26 1936-12-22 T 0.0 T 38 19 1936-12-23 0.00 0.0 T 52 35 1936-12-24 T 0.0 0 55 38 1936-12-25 0.04 0.0 0 59 50 1936-12-26 0.56 0.0 0 56 49 1936-12-27 0.26 0.0 0 52 30 1936-12-28 0.00 0.0 0 35 29 1936-12-29 0.03 0.0 0 47 35 1936-12-30 1.18 T 0 59 27 1936-12-31 0.00 0.0 0 37 27
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Looking for a good hit on Sunday. Unfortunately it'll be during the day when most of it falls, so it will be very wet, and probably mix with rain for a while, at least here along the shore.
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An OK forecast. There is a system moving in starting on St Patrick's Day, and strengthening over the next couple days. 2nd half of March is looking as anticipated (active), at least as of today.
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March 14-15 Severe Weather Outbreak
Brian D replied to HillsdaleMIWeather's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
A little solo to start the blood pumpin for the active day. This particular solo turned out well mixed with the symphony accompaniment. -
Thunderstorms blowing through this morning with a brief flurry of hail up to 0.5". Usually don't see this around here until late April at the very least.
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Hit 60 here in town again, breaking the record of 55 (2014), DLH hit 62 breaking the record of 58 (2015). A slew of records across MN/WI/UP MI region with some being substantial. Daily records that are 5+ from 2nd place are rather common across the N half of our sub, which shows how extreme swings are much more common than one would think. When I started researching that a few years ago, was surprised at the results.
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After a warm couple days, avg temps today. Then back to warmer, and back to avg. Seesaw, whiplashes. Might get to have some thunder Friday night. You'd think I was in the S Sub
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Record high here in town of 60. Looks like another record going down today, 55 (2014) here in town as forecast is for upper 50's (possibly 60 again). Edit: Looks like Duluth set a record as well. 57 beat 55 (2021). Today's record for them is 58 (2015), and could go down as well.
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Temps peaking around 60 today on W wind. Very nice early Spring day. Possible record depending on what the co-op site records as it stands at 59 (1977). Looking at similar temps tomorrow before a front blows through, and drops max temps into the 30's. Temps will rebound back to 45-50 ahead of that strong LP moving into the region along with potentially heavier rains. Need the precip (wish it was snow though).
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Early data in for Feb, and a little colder this year (much colder than last year). Winter ended avg with Dec being on the warm side offsetting the somewhat colder months of Jan/Feb. 5 & 10 yr trend charts shown respectively.
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Mother's Day looks pretty nice. A CAN front will move into the NW areas of the sub. Looking like a bit of a rollercoaster in the first half of May with CAN systems followed by HP's bringing days of warmer/cooler wx with scattered shwrs/stms.