Brian D

Cool, gray day here with a light fog, and mist this morning. 0.45" of rain in the hours before sunrise as scattered stms moved through. And yet, just a couple hrs drive south is a sauna.

OUCH!

Just looking ahead here. Today's 12z GFS run looking like what I'm expecting for Labor day weekend. Unsettled weather. So we'll see if that pans out.

Looks like I'm a day off on this one. Front moves through on the 20th with little fanfare. Precip looks to be pretty isolated, if any.

Circled the dome, and came in from the NE looks like. Well, felt like sharing

Thick smoke moved in today. Nasty skies

Aug temps so far show the bigger swings in max temps around here along the shoreline. Min's stay relatively close. Pretty typical summer so far this year, except for precip. Although typical is relative depending on what baseline you use. 2023-08-01 0.00 73 56 2023-08-02 0.00 69 57 2023-08-03 0.00 80 62 2023-08-04 0.00 87 64 2023-08-05 0.00 71 59 2023-08-06 0.00 73 57 2023-08-07 0.00 74 58 2023-08-08 0.00 85 59 2023-08-09 0.10 79 58 2023-08-10 0.00 77 54 2023-08-11 0.55 74 56 2023-08-12 0.12 64 57 2023-08-13 0.00 70 55 2023-08-14 0.00 71 57 2023-08-15 0.00 71 53 2023-08-16 0.00 84 55 2023-08-17 0.43 80 60

No thick smoke plumes mixed in makes it twice as nice.

Front passed through pretty quickly yesterday, instead of a rain train for a little while like I was hoping for, so 0.43" in the bucket (1.20" for the month). It's something. Lawn went from partly golden to all green today. Even heard geese moving around, so that's a sign of the season coming to an end soon. Looks like some smoke will be back in the forecast for me, but sat images don't show anything to bad, at least in comparison to weeks past.

Most welcome indeed

Rain shield running SW/NE across NC MN. Sure hope that comes over me tonight. Couple inches of soaking rain would be most welcome.

Looking at model runs this morning, looks like a good douching in S Cal with a tropical system moving in along the Baha. Seems to me it has been a few years since they have seen one move through down there.

Decent threat of svr wx this aftrn. Hoping for some intense downpours. Was in the mid 80's (upper 60's dews) yesterday after a stretch of low 70's. Looks like a decent stretch of summer in the coming days, but after that...mmm potpourri I guess. Potpourri is typical my way anyway. Avg's start there descent in a big way in a couple weeks.

Maples always start showing Fallish sometime in mid to late Aug, depending on the temps, and precip. They seem to be pretty sensitive. If we don't get more rains around here, going to be a dull, brownish color leaf season.

0.67" yesterday brings Aug total up to 0.77" so far. Tomorrow's rain chance is looking less likely for me now. Looks like Duluth southward should do well.

OUCH!

MSP under the gun with some decent cells, and heavy rain. Decent hail sigs in there.

About a 1/2" of soaking rain that started around 3 am. Cool, cloudy, NE winds. Fallish this morning. Highs around the mid 60's today, with low 70's for the weekend. Another round of heavier rains possible on Sun-Mon. Much needed.

The big difference between TheClimateChanger's data (which is cool to see), and mine, is the scope of the area. He has a small area in the S sub, while I have a much larger one. Using maps from MRCC's map maker, you can see the reason for some of the differences that show up just because of the wx pattern differences that affect our region. That, and the difference in agencies handling of raw data (which these maps are using with a 1991-2020 baseline)) with their respective modelling/reanalysis techniques they employ (which is why I avg them using 1901-2000 baseline). Unfortunately, MRCC only goes back to 1900, so no 1868 map is available. I also added the lat/long lines on the 1st map to show the area that I'm using. Other than 1868, the other hot years on my chart are virtually tied. An update on a dataset could change those with such a tiny margin. Since 1955, and 2020 are on his top 5, I included those as well. Hope this helps those perusing our posts. 1868: 3.461 2012: 2.814 1901: 2.714 1936: 2.614 1921: 2.613 1955: 2.428 2020: 1.806

Ended up with a whopping 0.1" after a thunder shower moved through just after sunset. 1st measurable rain of the month.

Stms moving through my area today, but of course they are mostly N of me. Had a glancing blow for a couple hundreths. Hopefully some will form and hit here later. Temps in the lower 80's with upper 60's for dews. Good fuel.

Prelim data in for July. Near avg on the plus side. 5 & 10 yr trend chrts shown respectively. Update: Double checking my datasets, I noticed I accidentally flipped July, and Aug data when I updated one of the datasets with a new version. So that put 1868 well above other years which was similar to the last data string I had.

Just some shwrs with a rumble of thunder possible my way. 0.1" is probably it for me.

Looks good for this cast. Nothing tropical as I mentioned the possibility, but an area of low pressure moving through with a front, and more energy in the W sub.

After a couple hot days here in town, NE winds keeping temps in the 70's. Reached 87 yesterday at the co-op site on the shoreline. Hottest day so far. 85 on June 30 was the last hot one there. Upper 80's in mid summer is top 5 heat along the shoreline. Looking forward to some rain chances this weekend.