Brian D

Going to get pounded with heavy wet snow. and high winds just west of me.

Tough weekend, especially just to my west. LES should get cranking, too

Granddaughter just moved out to around the Fargo, ND area this past summer for school. Blizzard potential coming up with this system there. I warned her to be absolutely careful with the winter weather there. It's a little different than here with the high winds they get out there than can make even just a little snow become dangerous with the wind.

I guess you can call it "the season changer".

How about something a little longer than that. I have looked at next July 4 for you, so here's what it looks like to me. Pretty nice weather on tap. Late June/early July looks to have a series of fronts with some ridging in between them. Should keep things in flux a bit with temps, and precip. I'll keep this for the next thread I start for 2023.

Oct prelim data in, and showing near average for the month. Far cry from last year. The map is 1991-2020 baselined.

So it looks like a good call here, but this will be an extended event ending on Veterans Day it looks like for most of us as the trough moves through. As we are just in range now for Thanksgiving, looks like a ridge is forecast by the GFS, which is what I'm anticipating, so we'll see how that ends up.

Well, she took another spike buck this afternoon. 2 for the party today. She's doing good. They saw a few other small does too. Deer moving good with system around.

My daughter-in-law took a forkhorn buck this morning. She's happy. Usually she takes a doe every year. Good eatin Chilly NE winds today with some mix heading my way tonight. Starting to feel like late Fall now.

30's for highs the next couple days. Deer hunters start their opener tomorrow morning. After such a nice start to the month, gonna be a chilly one.

Duluth tied record with 71 today.

Very heavy geese movement today. By far the most I've seen in any given day since they have been moving since early August. Interesting that they have been moving since early August. They always start around the last week of that month, and that is also when maples start showing some color.

Tied record high in Duluth for Nov 1st at 68 (1990/2022). #2 likely today with forecast at 69 (66 1978) as the record is 71 (1903). It'll be a close one with a stiff south wind.

Two Harbors ends the month near average with temps at 46.2 (45.9), and on the dry side with 1.10" (3.03").

Looks like a partially ok forecast. Didn't have the low coming in from the south into our southern sub. Expected that to stay across the SE US, so didn't think it'd have any bearing for us.

Rollercoaster temps for the second half of Oct. From this to this to that. And with forecast temps being what they are for the rest of the month, looks like a near average month on tap.

Storms over Lake Superior can produce so much heat lightning in the summer for hours, and it so much cooler than fireworks

Hopefully tomorrow, some will reach there with the low moving up. The fickle nature of precip makes things interesting, to be sure.

Looks like some energy moving up the front tomorrow. Should put a little precip in the rain bucket for more folks.

Storms last night brought 0.52" of rain in town, and 0.38" at the airport. Much needed for the month, as we have been a little behind. Looks like a nice batch of rain falling in the plains. Hope it stays together, and douses the region with some much needed precip, and moves into our sub.

Very nice. 60's for the next 4 days, then rain/stms over to more average temps next week. Feels rather warm after that strong cold shot.

What a difference a week makes.

I remember back in early June 89', I was driving home on leave from my base in NJ. Cruising I-80 across OHIO, ran into svr stms. CB was lit with chatter from the rigs. They were having a hard time keeping them on the road. Either straight line winds, or possibly a nearby tornado, not sure as it was in the middle of the night. Wind hit the car (Ford Maverick), and pushed me into the shoulder almost instantly. Heavy rain, very humid. Decided to head up through MI, and take the scenic way home. Crossed the Mackinaw Bridge very early (around sunrise), after a 3 hr nap, as I had been driving for a quite a few hours already. Loved that, but a little creepy up that high. Needed gas, so stopped in a little town somewhere on the other side. Was in shorts and T-shirt when I stepped out to gas up. WOW, 45 feels rather brisk after hot, humid just a few hours earlier. Was already that way in NJ, too. But the smell, and look of home there was awesome. And the sky looked much closer to the ground, and was so clear, and crisp looking. After funky air at sea level for many months, this was great. Still a few more hours to home though. I shivered most nights partying with friends, as I was accustomed to the hot, humid weather already. Took leave late Dec 90', and I drove home in an Olds (model escapes me). Coming across PA on I-80, doing 55, I saw the traffic halted at the bottom of the big hill I was on. Started to put on the brakes, when the car started to slide. BLACK ICE. OH SHIT OH SHIT!! My heart started pounding. I'm racing towards the backend of a semi. Gently tapping brakes, and moving over to the right lane slowly, as there was another rig length of distance. Just barely was able to make it to the right shoulder, and get a grip on the snow. Heart, in my throat, I slowly moved ahead, and got in line. But when we were able to start moving, I just slid over into the left lane, then that shoulder, were I could get a grip again. Until we got to the sanded area, it was very slow going. After that, all good the rest of the way past Chicago, then northward. The night the Desert Storm op started, was at the hunting shack with my dad drinking, and having venison steaks. Heard it over the radio. Never got orders to go there, so felt rather fortunate. But was really nervous about it, and so were my parents. Air war did the job, tho. I-80 is tough man LOL

Duluth had a near record low max for Oct 17. Even a little colder than 2020. The avg min is 35, so pretty cold. 1930/48 28 1972 30 1916/2022 33 1880/2020 35 Two Harbors was the same, but a little warmer being next to the lake. 1930 31 1972 35 2020 37 1992/2022 39

Just messing with ya. I know you guys down there have trouble getting good storms at times. My low end year is probably pretty average to you, and storms are pretty normal my way just because of the typical pattern we see. Well, here's to a banner year for you this season.