Brian D

Impressive for that far south.

Rough stuff.

Yep. happens regular around here. Structures/trees popping. Sometimes makes me jump, especially when my deck adjusts. Every year, need to check for loose planks from screws breaking.

Since you quoted a book earlier, I'll do the same here. "The Little Engine That Could" There's hope!

Temps running -1 - -2 at TH arpt, with 1-2 here near the lakeshore. TH arpt was -8 (-4 in town) this morning so temps really struggling to rise today. Snowpack helping lots with that. Mostly cloudy skies atm with 10-15 winds. If they clear, and winds go light, big temp drop coming tomorrow am.

Just a trough moving through helping enhance LES with LP affecting portions of the S sub. So-so cast here with a good call in the S. The N fronts on my map were from the exiting system and a re-enforcing front (trough), but didn't pick that up too well with timing. It will be a mellow day across the N, tho. So I guess my text forecast was pretty decent.

My deck/ramp pops loudly when temps get cold. Makes me jump sometimes. I have wainscoting along my living room, and during really cold winters, the house will move a little, and the wainscoting will adjust, and pop. Frost heaving to the max.

And for the E sub. Notice that the 1930's are less prominent, and the 1890's a little more so than the W sub.

Here's for the W sub, and the extreme's. The 5+ & 10+ extreme's tend to be more numerous at the higher latitudes as you will see.

I also have top 5 max temps by decade updated to the end of the year for our region using 20 long period stns starting early-mid 1870's. I actually have split it into W & E (10 each), which I will show in the following posts along with the most extreme daily records. Eventually I will have the other metrics charted (high min, low max, min & precip). I'm using MRCC data, and do this manually, so it takes time.

I did something a little different this year, and added a snow season chart. Trending is similar, but different ranking. Here's the 5 & 10 yr trend charts.

Annual showing a strong + anom this year with a 6th place rank. 5 & 10 yr trend charts shown respectively.

Most datasets in, and Dec running 3rd warmest on my chart. This will tweak a little when the remaining report, but should remain 3rd. You can see the max/min rankings in the above quote that I posted earlier. 5 & 10 yr charts shown respectively.

2 cold weather tips you should teach kids. #1: NEVER, NEVER stick your tongue on a metal pole in bitter wx. ("Christmas Story" anyone ) Boys at school daring others. #2: NEVER, NEVER warm your hands when they are near frostbit/frostbit with very warm/hot water. The pain from doing this is probably the closest a man can get to what birth pain is like, and that's only for a couple minutes. It hurts something fierce. Use very lukewarm water. Experience from my kid days.

Ferocious! I remember chills like that were more regular when I was younger. They changed the wind chill formula, but -60 would be akin to -70 - -80 range. I've been through -80 - -100 before under higher winds of 40-45 mph. Wicked stuff. Here's the old, and new charts I saved. Need them for reference from the change.

Now that's the UP we know!

4" from Wed-Thurs clipper, then got goose egged yesterday. Looks like the Ashland, WI & Ironwood, MI areas got 6-12". NWS DLH didn't do so good with this northern end of the system. It ended up being a little more east than expected, and winds not as bad.

Very light snow starting, and a band forming to my E, and moving my way. Come on baby, you can do it! UPDATE: Band moving SW towards Duluth/Superior. DANG! oh well. BTW, here are the totals from the clipper/lake band event from Wed-Thurs. Very much needed.

Northern effects of this storm. Rough stuff off the lake across N WI/ W UP MI.

Same here, temps running around 9-10. Tomorrow, tho S Shore going to get slammed into Sat. 3-6" my way. NE winds up to 40-45 mph.

Reports came in from up the shore around Silver Bay/Finland of up to 15" with snow still falling. Although it was due to taper off up there soon. Probably another 1-2" added to that 15".

Ended with 3.8" imby. Snow has tapered to scattered snow showers. Tomorrow is the next possibility. Bring it!

2.9" imby with a general 3-6" around the area. Lake band to my N netted 6-9". Still snowing good this morning. Potential for the snow to continue into Sat am. As cold N/NE winds at the surface with E/NE mid levels should create more heavy bands thanks to to the large system to the south. Currently the LP with trough is bringing synoptic snows combined with some lake enhancement, and lake bands are mainly N of me with E mid level flow. Good to see the snow pack build before bitter wx settles in for a short time.

Actually LES events happen quite regular anywhere along the shore, along with enhancement situations. They are very subject to the wx pattern as to where they end up, and each year can be a bit different. S shore of the lake have their regular belt areas on cold, northerly winds.

Looking at the models today, this LES event will probably be extended into Fri pm. 2nd stm system is going to keep mid levels out of the E, with E/NE surface winds. Temps tho will being dropping during that time. 1-2' not out of the question (Wed-Fri) depending on band alignment & movement. Then the LES machine focuses on the south shore (N WI/ UP MI).