MN Transplant

Yes, an overperformer. Globals are liking Saturday evening for rain. Deterministic solutions generally from 0.5” to 1.5” and ensembles over 0.75”. That would be extremely welcome.

Wind just kicked up. The tree parts barrage is on.

After that washout weekend, I’m now at 0.06” in the last two weeks. The pollen is everywhere.

0.01” at IAD, 0.02” in Falls Church, 0.51” at DCA

Blew up right over me but that meant the backside came quick. 0.02”.

0.02” DCA 0.01” My house 0.00” IAD

Where's the winter 23-24 thread!?

Ian's on top of it: https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/04/14/drought-conditions-dry-dc-virginia-maryland/ Moderate drought for the DC area https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?VA

The good news, I just ran a very rudimentary analysis of Jan-Apr vs May-July precip, and there is a positive correlation but it is so slight as to pretty much consider it random.

It is funny, that article was posted on August 17th, 1999. In August/Sept of 1999 at DCA there was over 15" of rain All we need to do is complain!

I think it is precisely because we are in a relatively wet part of the country and don't get droughts that the dry periods seem so anomalous. Our vegetation is acclimated to regular precipitation and then there are H2O's water supply comments. The concern arises if the dry pattern continues into summer. That's where the evapotranspiration maxes out. And the other problem is that as we go into later summer the chances for organized convection nearly vanish. So, you get only spotty dry relief. I guess I'm saying that this is a notable start to the year and could portend problems down the road, but a few well-placed systems could also bring us right back to normal. So, only a slightly elevated level of concern so far.

Yes! You are paying for the sewage charge no matter if your water is going there or not.

I never have to water my front yard, but for whatever reason my backyard fescue is really susceptible to dry periods. I tried avoiding watering and not really treating it last fall (new puppy), and it looks absolutely terrible right now. Worst spring in the last 10 years.

Ha, interesting. I would interpret this as a thin line with dry conditions behind. It does look like DPs in the 20s/30s for Tuesday and Wednesday.

87s across the board so far including at my house. DPs generally in the low 40s except in Central VA ...CENTRAL VIRGINIA... CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS CULPEPER* SUNNY 86 34 15 SW9G16 29.96F CHARLOTTESVILL SUNNY 86 38 18 VRB5 29.96F WARRENTON* SUNNY 87 25 10 S9G16 29.95F ORANGE* SUNNY 84 39 20 W5G17 29.97F STAFFORD* SUNNY 92 29 10 S3 29.94F FREDERICKSBRG* SUNNY 87 33 14 SW10 29.93F LOUISA* SUNNY 85 37 18 SW10G17 29.97F

It is a 100% IMBY game. I conceptually hate using water for lawns/gardens. It is so energy intensive to provide clean drinking water and I’m just going to dump hundreds of gallons on the ground because it won’t rain? Awful.

And the coverage tomorrow on the models is not widespread.

Enjoying that Stephens City lyfe

I saw my temp and went to check DCA to see if they were in line for a high min record. Nope, in the 50s even in the urban river.

Holy inversion. My low was 60.8. I can feel the temperature dramatically changing on the morning dog walk.

This is nuts

82.2 and dry

That’s a heck of a day. I got 20 last year and spread it out over a week. Went golfing today and the fairways were very dry. Great roll, though. Drove a 295 yard (downhill) hole. 3 putted of course.