MN Transplant
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Everything posted by MN Transplant
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Heard from a co-worker in Oakton that they had a "wicked" storm. He's from Long Island, not Boston, but still.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Down almost 20 from the high and at the low of the day, 65.7. 0.13", so not a ton of rain.- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I had an outflow gust in the 30s, but nothing once the rain got here.- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
It is interesting that there were several "gaps". It wasn't only DC, but the VA/NC border, the NC/SC border, and NE PA. These are things that are just simply unpredictable at this point.- 2,790 replies
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The good news is that when ECMWF pushes the envelope, Congress pays attention.
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Looks like that one just started producing lightning.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Possibly, but it is unlikely to be significant in this case. Research has found that large, slow-moving MCSs have more impact. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/258795094_A_Numerical_Simulation_Study_of_the_Effects_of_Anvil_Shading_on_Quasi-Linear_Convective_Systems- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
There is a realistic fail mode here that has been hinted at by some models where there are good storms up in PA where the dynamics are solid and down in southern VA and NC where the instability is better.- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Paying attention to the DPs on the HRRR vs NAM. HRRR is much drier and the coverage is unimpressive. Is that a bias in convective scenarios this year? I haven’t been paying attention.- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
00z NAM Nest looks good for severe. Always an IMBY game though.- 2,790 replies
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0.93” today making it 1.87” for the last few days.
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I remember June 2006 as multiple rounds of MCS-like storms. Is my memory failing me? Whenever I see a N/S oriented line that start to train, I immediately think of TD Lee.
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~1.2" so far this week.
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I have the VP2 mounted on a post and I put the ant poison (gel) on the post. Problem takes care of itself quickly.
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My VP2 gets ants every year.
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Yeah, that's effectively where I am.
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0.45” of very welcome rain. DCA and IAD are in the 0.3”-0.4” range.
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NAM Nest coming in aggressive tonight with a solid batch of 1"+ rain Wednesday afternoon and evening.
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Brushed by that cell in McLean. 0.04”
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0.04” on the day, 0.11” on the month. Brutal.
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0.08” in June so far, including 0.01” so far today.