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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    Really amazing how the Euro just completely blew this from 3-4 days out. There was little to no 850 push on the Euro as of a few days ago. The GFS and the longer range NAM had it.
  2. MN Transplant
    Sigh
  3. MN Transplant
    HRRR is trending towards the worst-case scenario for DC. Too warm with the 1st batch and the second misses south.
  4. MN Transplant
    3k with maybe half of the precip of the 12k
  5. MN Transplant
    Almost surgical how the two phases barely overlap.
  6. MN Transplant
    NAM still holding on to the warm layer idea for round 1 up to DC.
  7. MN Transplant
    GFS still holding to the central VA min.
  8. MN Transplant
    NAM has a warm nose at 800mb that gets to DC.
  9. MN Transplant
    What’s this thing that you refer to as “snowpack”? High of 50.5 here. Better than the 54-55 a few of the models were spitting out a couple of days ago.
  10. MN Transplant
    Well, we are here sitting with a min of 0.5” QPF after not having a warning-level event in a couple of years. Not feeling bad about northern MD.
  11. MN Transplant
    There is almost no overlap on the NAM between the two waves. You get hit by one or the other.
  12. MN Transplant
    The 12k and 3k look nothing alike
  13. MN Transplant
    The NAM wants to sneak a warm layer at ~800mb to DC. Not sure that it is realistic based on all the other modeling.
  14. MN Transplant
    Some of the precip in PA is from tonight/tomorrow. Otherwise, getting better.
  15. MN Transplant
    It is a nice run for our northern neighbors. The really good news from today has been the complete elimination of the concept of the 850s blasting north.
  16. MN Transplant
    Somebody will like the appendage on the 18z GFS. Not me, though.
  17. MN Transplant
    If the low end is 3” of uncomplicated snow, that’s good news.
  18. MN Transplant
    Whew. Nice to see the NAM cave. 0.3”-0.5” across most of the area with the first wave.
  19. MN Transplant
  20. MN Transplant
    Approaching 1" precip, all snow in the DC area by 12z Friday. Still snowing.
  21. MN Transplant
    Lazy bums, the whole lot of you
  22. MN Transplant
  23. MN Transplant
    Something might fall from the sky.
  24. MN Transplant
    Nah, I had a dud earlier this winter
  25. MN Transplant
    Now that there is another potential threat within 7 days, it might be good to break out the W-F event into a separate thread, curse be damned. @stormtracker
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