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MN Transplant

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant

    September Discobs 2019

    Yup Perfect out this morning. Then I looked at the Euro and got sad.
  2. MN Transplant

    September Banter 2019

    The only good aspect of this is that the area SW of Beaumont that looks like it got hit the heaviest is fairly rural. I-10 in that area must be closed since there is no traffic reported on Google Maps.
  3. MN Transplant

    September 2019 Mid/Long Range

    Negative 850s get here on the 06z GFS.
  4. MN Transplant

    September Discobs 2019

    Yeah, that's not great. Makes DCA's ASOS placement look positively rural.
  5. MN Transplant

    September Discobs 2019

    I don't like new, calm mattie. Record high at DCA. At least 97.
  6. MN Transplant

    September Discobs 2019

    93.7 at home. At least 94 so far at DCA. Awful
  7. MN Transplant

    Is next winter looking like a disaster?

    I'm pretty sure I saw this satellite image in "the day after tomorrow"
  8. MN Transplant

    September Discobs 2019

    Racked up 0.05" here
  9. MN Transplant

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    That is awesome.
  10. MN Transplant

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    This is how far we've come with forecasting that an incorrect path "only 8 days ago" is noteworthy.
  11. MN Transplant

    September Discobs 2019

    Blew it at DCA
  12. MN Transplant

    September Discobs 2019

    Oh good, we topped a record today at DCA. 96. The prior record (95) was tied way back in 2018. Another big FU from Summer on the way out.
  13. MN Transplant

    September Discobs 2019

    0.11” here but it has been rumbling in the distance for an hour.
  14. MN Transplant

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    The Euro has it running nearly the length of Grand Bahama Is. before making the turn. The 18z HWRF is scary. Landfall at Cape Canaveral.
  15. MN Transplant

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    I didn’t realize that Josh was there. He is in the eyewall now in Marsh Harbour. This is from a bit back.
  16. MN Transplant

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    The Euro has 100mph+ gusts at Freeport in the Bahamas from daybreak Monday to sundown Tuesday. That is rough.
  17. MN Transplant

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    216 - in SC and maybe headed up 95?
  18. MN Transplant

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    I get the concept though. You have the trough swinging through the lakes which is able to tug Dorian north, but it isn't strong enough or close enough to pull it out to sea with it. So the trough passes and you are left with weak steering currents. That would be a damn mess, because the inflow would stay over the water. Better for Orlando than the ones that "barrel" into the coast, but the coastal and freshwater flooding from Melbourne up to Jax would be significant.
  19. MN Transplant

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Coastal scraper. HWRF is ~940 just south of Cape Canaveral.
  20. MN Transplant

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Not a stretch. What is it, two Cat 4+ landfalls on the east coast in the last 50 years (Andrew, Hugo)?
  21. MN Transplant

    August Discobs 2019

    Low of 59. Glorious.
  22. MN Transplant

    August Discobs 2019

    Yes, it was awesome.
  23. MN Transplant

    August Discobs 2019

    The problem with this kind of storm setup is that there is a lot of heat/moisture to fuel the storms, but the triggers are very subtle. Unlike a squall line or supercell where movement can be counted on, these cell just kind of ooze around and then die out. So, putting up a warning box is especially tough. The storm last night looked really healthy, and 30 min late it was remnant clouds. Nature of the beast. Not to mention, the areas that get hit by severe conditions are almost always very small.
  24. MN Transplant

    August Discobs 2019

    Triple point boundary collision right at the bend of 495 in Annandale. See if anything comes of it. Great Falls getting hit. Again.
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