MN Transplant

The airports average 1-3" of snow for December, so expectations should be in check. It is our fourth snowiest month.

This will be the 5th consecutive below normal precip Autumn, and the 10th out of 12. You have to go back to the 1950s/60s and 1910s/20s to find similar stretches. Rolling it forward, both of those periods were relatively snowy, but the current one is, um, not.

0.14" overnight, 0.87" on the month. Continuing to be very dry.

It is dead still outside. Makes 45 degrees seem kind of nice.

0.33”. The globals juiced it up too much. The mesos were closer.

Things our region actually does well: Humid in the summer Warm/wet, cold/dry in the winter

This is my regular pop-in to say that our area is among the least windy places in the US.

The CoCoRahs website lets you do 90-day custom maps. I set it for Dec 15 - Mar 15, because that is a pretty good sense of climo. Any storms outside of that window would be missed in my analysis. The favored regions each winter were: 2024/25 - South and east 2023/24 - Central (MoCo through Baltimore) 2022/23 - Everyone lost 2021/22 - Fairly uniform, south a bit better than north 2020/21 - North had a dominant advantage 2019/20 - Another dead-ratter. Better north, but we're talking 4-6" vs 0-2". 2018/19 - North and central much better. Hwy 50 as a dividing line 2017/18 - Best in the north and east. Another sub-10" dud for most. 2016/17 - Marginally better north, yet another sub-10" year for most. 2015/16 - Almost everyone got to party! MoCo with some of the biggest totals. So, obviously it is better to be north over the long run and they had a nice advantage in the 5 winters post the 2016 blizzard. Since then, they have been worse versus climo than central or south.

I picked out some CoCoRaHS points for winter 2018/19 to present: Northern St. Mary's Co. - 53.0" Mid Calvert Co. - 54.8" Southern Anne Arundel - 45.5" Near Salisbury - 46.7" For comparison: Falls Church, VA - 76.3" (my house) DCA - 59.4" BWI - 69.6" IAD - 84.8"

I'm sitting here trying how to use my 10-year old DSLR camera that has been on the shelf for years because iPhones are easy. F-stops, ISO, etc.

If the Vikings are going to be in last place in the division, it warms my heart to see the Packers in 3rd.

27.3 this morning. Colder than the airports and every MD mesonet site east of the panhandle. A topsy-turvy world.

For all the pretty colors on the radar, I’m at 0.09”

We watched Sam wither in the final two games last year. He wasn’t coming back for the dollars/years he wanted.

Just saw a stat that the Vikings had 19 3rd or 4th downs and threw the ball on all of them. Just a terrible coaching day by KOC.

What a damn cluster-f. 8 false starts at home! Jefferson’s worst game as a pro (I would not be surprised if he’s injured/sick). Coach completely abandoning the run which was working great and calling long-developing plays for your QB that has started 3 prior games. Lose the TO battle 3-0, all of which were avoidable. All the good vibes after beating Detroit are gone in 60 awful minutes.

Upper 60s, mostly sunny, little wind. Top-10 practical weather day of the year.

I don't think that you are going to find anything more authoritative than the USGS. I went to the search page and lowered the threshold to an effectively imperceptible 1.5 magnitude, and the only one that shows up in the last month is the 2.5 on 10/27 near Columbia, MD. https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/ Welcome!

Tuesday looks raw with gusty winds and temps in the 30s/40s.

0.28". Pretty well modeled, except for the HRRR.

I don’t think a game has ever gone from relatively boring to batshit insane quite like that one.

NAM/Euro/GFS are looking good for rain tonight (0.25"+) but the HRRR hates it. Interesting battle.

Westminster at 882' with a low of 38. And Frostburg in the mountains misses at 36. Elevation, open water, and urban heat island all doing work around the region.

37.4, not even close. Will wait for Tuesday.

The Euro is interesting in that it is digging a potent 500 low which provides the dynamics needed for a post-frontal burst of precip. The GFS does not have this (nor does the AIFS for that matter). Probably a pipe dream, but worth keeping an eye on.