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MN Transplant

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. Yeah, the HRRR is on a crazy island. I might put the NAM there too with the 1"+ QPF results.
  2. I haven't been paying any attention to this, but this morning's HRRR has me in the upper 50s Sunday 1pm while the NAM 3k has me in the upper 30s. So, I see everything is locked down.
  3. 2.5” remaining but the sloped, sunny spots have caved.
  4. The last few weeks will be great fodder for arguments about the best regional winter events. Basically, can you separate the event itself from the “aftermath”? Everyone wants a Jan ‘16 storm with a Jan ‘26 freeze, but in the end, which combo (big snow/melt, modest snow/freeze) is your favorite?
  5. Lost an inch since yesterday, down to 4". The difference between distributed areas (footsteps, etc.) and untouched areas is dramatic.
  6. 45.1. Funny to see the mid-upper 50s out in Garrett Co and Frostburg.
  7. I wonder where the storm would rank all-time just simply on frozen precipitation. Basically, how many 2.00" liquid equivalent storms have we had in our area.
  8. If we're done, I'm still giving this winter somewhere in the B range. Yes, we'd finish below normal snowfall, but the last two weeks have been the most impressive stretch of pure winter in my 21 years in the DC area.
  9. The GFS has outperformed the Euro on temps for the globals, and the NAM has been much better than the HRRR. One thing that I noticed that was not surprising was that the AI models did not handle the wind gusts well. They were too muted, as is to be expected with more extreme events.
  10. Peaks gusts at the airports DCA: 58 BWI: 57 IAD: 52
  11. 43mph on my anemometer through the trees ties my top gust since 2021 (localized microburst). We probably won't see the near 60mph number that the NWS was saying was possible, but this is an impressive event.
  12. 12/5 - 1.9" 12/14 - 1.3" 1/26 - 8.5" 2/6 - 0.2" Total - 11.9"
  13. DCA to 54mph. My backyard is littered with sticks.
  14. Coldest wind chill I can find in the broader region is Bradford, PA (NW PA) at -35F within the last 30 minutes.
  15. The three airports have already gusted into the upper 40s. Temps are still dropping. Pretty nasty out there.
  16. Peak wind gust IMBY: 12z Euro: 54mph 18z HRRR: 50mph 18z NAM: 46mph 18z HRDPS: 56mph
  17. Ground is whitening. Might squeeze out something measurable.
  18. My NWS point-and-click has a 60mph gust for noon tomorrow. I'm not sure I've seen something like that since the big March windstorm in the late 2010s.
  19. Consider them the outlier right now. Probably a bit too cold. Mid-teens in the afternoon is a better bet.
  20. We are going to ruin a top-tier cold day on Saturday with a midnight high.
  21. Here's a fun one - the last time that DCA (current airport location) had a consecutive week below freezing with at least 5" of snow on the ground was...never. 1989 had a longer streak, but less snow on the ground (2-4") 1979 had a similar streak, but some of the days had 4" 1961 had a 13 day stretch where it hit 33 twice (3-9")
  22. It is wild to look at the snowpack from the side, especially adjacent to sidewalks. The sleet layer is forming a shelf as the snow melts/sublimates away. Still 5.5" here too.
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