MN Transplant
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Mesonet station XSRS Santa Rosa Sound DB127 recorded sustained winds of 84 mph with a measured wind gust of 116 mph. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/lsr/?by=wfo&wfo=MOB&sts=202610100045&ets=202610100045&settings=1110100
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Looks like landfall will be on Miramar Beach, which means Destin will stay on the left side. If there is any surge, it looks like it would be directed to some areas that have state park land, which is a plus.
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I generally agree with you, especially being in the mid-Atlantic where a severe warning is verified on a 35mph gust that takes down a dead tree branch, but I don't think that this one matters too much. I might argue that 115mph sustained is a too high of a marker for an EWW. That's an EF2 tornado sustained! Hopefully this cam stays up. https://maps.app.goo.gl/5GBwpLHVo3nQd6CH8
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I assume many people thought that this would be a halfacane at landfall, but this is more impressive than the radar presentation would lead on.
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Maybe the interesting thing here is that the EWW text has no mention of wind speeds at all. It might simply be that the NWS offices are ignoring the 115mph sustained guidance and going with an EWW for all major hurricane eyewalls.
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That is a short flight. Somebody made a really unnecessary mistake thinking that they could sneak into TLH. Edit - they went back to ATL. What a miserable experience that must be.
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A big factor is that TC tornadoes are strongly diurnal. The CAMs all have the same idea with a broken (super?)cellular line, but it doesn't really rotate up here until after sundown. If I were chasing, I think I'd head to Lynchburg and plan to follow the cells northeast.
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Feels like this one is going to end up as a classic north Gulf half-i-cane landfalls.
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In 2022 the Vikings had a great record and a terrible point differential. That was the most obvious paper tiger in recent memory (they lost to Daniel Jones in the WC game). The 2026 Vikings have the 5th best point differential right now and the starting QB has been in the system two weeks (mostly without Jefferson). The D and ST are elite, but I have simply no idea whether the O can find a way this season. It is ugly so far.
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Right around an inch for the weekend. The upcoming week looks fantastic.
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Even when it isn't Maryland's turn... (#alwaysMaryland)
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Forecast was good here. Got a solid rainfall overnight (0.78") and now we are in and out of sprinkles like several of the models showed.
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The last few seconds of your Ravens game was more entertaining than the entire Vikings game
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Did well yesterday with ~0.45", but only a few hundredths today. No rain either morning.
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Stellar fall morning. In and out of clouds, nice temps, slight breeze. No complaints.
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Tampa is desperate to avoid 0-3, so I wouldn’t be shocked if we tripped up this week, but hopefully Murray shows something.
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Now to be replaced by the Packers sucking. ‘Tis a beautiful thing.
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2.14” since Sunday. That’s a win.
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Now we are getting some proper backbuilding
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I don't have an Ambient station and I send my data to their website for free.
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1.25” since Sunday
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I’ll be up late waiting for my 4+” of precip
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0.37”, which is fine
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An interesting question in the intermediate term is whether our online society will become a bit less online. If AI tools become too good at hacking, do we need to reorient the ways of doing business such that they are no longer always online. Instead of killing us all, do we end up back in 1990?
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Good agreement for a really fall-like day on Wednesday with temps potentially staying in the 50s.
