greenmtnwx

Yes, where the hell you been?

This is not factual.

how much does 2” per hour at 10:1 add up to in 3 hours?

January 1994 ice storm incoming

This

GFS is definitely folding. Slowly but surely. Doubt the NAM thermals at your own risk. We just learned that again last week. Not to mention we still have two days of possible shifts. Keep V-day 2007 in the back of your mind. Congrats DC went to congrats VT.

I have a home in VT and spend a good part of the year there and travel through New England. Aside from the northern greens, lake belts and parts of the Adirondacks it hasn’t been a great season. Maybe average, below in some areas. Not great in Mass, NH or ME. Even the central greens, Killington etc not great. Cold yes, storm systems and above average snow, not so much.

Mount Holly might be better with this: Snow is expected to start from SW to NE in the early morning hours Sunday. Snow will be heavy at times and based on very cold temps and surfaces, snow will accumulate rapidly throughout the day Sunday. Warm air aloft may cause snow to mix or change to mixed precipitation later in the day Sunday from south to north but surface temperatures should remain below freezing for the area. Any precip type will accumulate and cause hazardous driving and transportation conditions. Total accumulations will likely range from 6–12” across the forecast area with the highest accumulations likely in central and northern areas. However, the impact of snow, mixed precipitation and unusually cold temperatures will cause dangerous conditions across the state. Snow and mixed precip could linger overnight Sunday into the daytime Monday before ending. Delays and cancellations are likely to begin the week. Stay tuned for additional updates.

If they are using the NBM then that may explain it. They also should stop doing that.

Ehh I’d argue they have been far less accurate than a lot of the smart folks on this board. I can tell you in the C NJ area they have had some hideously aggressive (and wrong) snow forecasts in recent years.

And I didn’t think the NAM looked half bad lol. It’s got an inch of liquid up to just south of the city through 84, pretty much all of which is snow.

Reminds me of a lighter version of Valentines 2007 setup. Models 4-5 days out had a MidAtlantic bullseye only to result in heaviest snows in NE and a ton of sleet in MidAtlantic up to NYC. When you see that heart shaped CAD signature often indicates a pretty strong warm push aloft. Just depends how far north it gets.

It’s coming.

A coastal is coming in the next 7-10 days, almost a lock. Only concern is precip type.

Off topic, but interested in buying a property in Thornton, NH. Anyone have any input on that area as far as how they feel about it and it’s proximity to the Whites and also snowfall and weather in general?

Off topic, but interested in buying a property in Thornton, NH. Anyone have any input on that area as far as how they feel about it and it’s proximity to the Whites and also snowfall and weather in general?

Euro went much colder. Short warmup but repeated tendency to drive western ridge and east trough.

Today’s a wash folks. Raining all the way down to Toms River now. Clouds will be here most of day.

Yeah maybe for you, but when you account for college kids going back to school by mid-August, school sports starting, etc, that would make it a 6 week summer. From mid August on is really no longer a big summer time. My shore place gets pretty dead then and Memorial Day weekend and June are busier.

This ski season has been just fine for just about all the east. It’s been plenty cold with some events but great weather for snowmaking. Add in the lack of warm cutters and it’s been an excellent few months. Trust me, I know, I ski a lot and follow the weather very closely at the New England resorts. I also know people who work in the industry there and this has been a very respectable season. The one thing that has hurt the ski resorts in recent years is that the holiday weeks have seemed to coincide with some of the worst weather. Christmas week hasn’t been good really for a number of years and that hurts the ski vibe some. The other thing as somebody pointed out is the youth sports season. Spring sports seem to start earlier and earlier, and kids are focusing on training and indoor sports sessions more and more. These “high-level” travel leagues are demanding more and more of kids. Even the kids who aren’t very good are playing in demanding travel leagues at a lower level versus rec sports. Add in the parents that have FOMO and it’s taken a lot of families out of the ski game for fear of missing that weekend training session I myself missed a bunch of good ski weekends in the last number of years because daughter had a club soccer tournament or a training session and we can’t miss that lol. however, I will say this. You frequently hear a lot of talk about skiing being dead, trust me, it’s alive and well.

House sits at 1,752’ to be precise

My place is West Wardsboro between Stratton and Mount Snow.

Close to 30” pack here.

I wonder if there might be a secondary surface reflection closer to coast once the upper level low swings through