Jump to content

Mr. Kevin

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    418

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Mr. Kevin

  1. Mr. Kevin
    Seriously, why is it important to see the SOI remain negative or continue to drop negative?
  2. Mr. Kevin
    If I'm reading the map correctly, today at least the 50mb level is only westerly compared to everything else?
  3. Mr. Kevin
    Hi jax. Can you tell me how to read the qbo chart from singapore again? Its confusing me because it dont show no forecast for the qbo moving forward. Not sure where it is now as in has it reversed fully at 30mb or 50mb easterly? Cant tell by the previous maps. Also, does anyone know where to pull up AAM charts? Imo, if it can go positive, we should be ok.
  4. Mr. Kevin
    We need a few breaks go our way so we can be optimistic moving forward.
  5. Mr. Kevin
    I think that if the mjo stayed in phases 2 and 3 in January, that would be good because the charts indicate it colder if i am reading the maps right.
  6. Mr. Kevin
    Jax, eric webb mentioned about the WWB heading east toward the idl. If that happens, would that be good for us?
  7. Mr. Kevin
    Carver, Convection in the eastern IO if its firing up would be ok because unless phase 3 is wrong, it shows cold for us if I'm reading it right off the charts. Starting January of course. I will hang on until mid January and if things dont look good, I'm throwing in the towel for sure.
  8. Mr. Kevin
    I just wanted to know because i would add them to my Twitter followers. Matt hugo is the only one ive noticed that mentioned it.
  9. Mr. Kevin
    Jax, do you think this has anything to do with qbo reversal to negative or is it totally different?
  10. Mr. Kevin
    Who were they Carver so i can take a look?
  11. Mr. Kevin
    Carver, are you going by what matt hugo said? He mentioned the 12z euro indicating that possibility.
  12. Mr. Kevin
    Is it time to cancel winter and be done with it? Looks like we will be chasing unicorns all winter. If we have to content with a western trough, i think we should.
  13. Mr. Kevin
    The gfs looks good for yall also. Beefed up precipitation.
  14. Mr. Kevin
    Right now, it's still in the COD, at least based on the RMM charts. I really think that it may be entering the warmer phases quicker than most people think due to the Pacific not looking good.
  15. Mr. Kevin
    Are these maps usually pretty accurate? What does all this mean jax if it happens?
  16. Mr. Kevin
    Just like the gefs has a bias to emerge into the 8-2 phases too quickly. Especially when initialization is in the IO.
  17. Mr. Kevin
    Isn't there a way to tell how the soi may transpire?
  18. Mr. Kevin
    I agree CARVER. The IOD is hurting us unfortunately.
  19. Mr. Kevin
    This is euro and eps depiction of mjo. Still in COD but seems to move towards the warm phases. Hopefully it will be on the move other than the COD.
  20. Mr. Kevin
  21. Mr. Kevin
    JB said that the +IOD supported a phase 8-2 phase orientation but he always hypes stuff it seems. Here we go again. We have a ways to go. It is what it is.
  22. Mr. Kevin
    Carver, again i ask what is possibly causing the not favorable Pacific? Lol. Just curious. I personally would like to see the mjo move to any other phase other than the COD. If things dont look good by mid January, i am throwing in the towel. I think we have a west based niño but maybe that's irrelevant at this point.
  23. Mr. Kevin
    Carver, what is causing the pacific and alaska to look the way it does moving forward? Is it mjo actually in the warm phases but the RMM charts dont show it? Thats my gut feeling. Probably phase 5 or 6 be my guess.
  24. Mr. Kevin
    I don't believe the gefs on anything really. Its very cold bias and eps has been warm bias. I got an email from a friend who works at UOA in New York yesterday and he believes the mjo is actually two separate areas of convection currently. He said mid January give or take before better pattern. I am curious on why alot of the so called experts think the +IOD is good for keeping mjo in colder niño phases, but don't look like that has happened.
  25. Mr. Kevin
    Jomo, i don't know what we need to take place for things to look better in the future. Maybe it's not that simple.There are tons of wishcasters out there to get attention, which i guess you have to do if you own a company online for talking about the weather and other things to get clients. I just dont want to be chasing unicorns all winter this winter.
×
×
  • Create New...