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binbisso

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Everything posted by binbisso

  1. binbisso
    The ukie has been consistent with several inches of snow from the second wave Thursday morning the GFS and CMC flip-flopped today. Overall looking at all guidance the GFS is the warmest at 850. Even the nam a hour 84 is colder than the GFS most of the guidance gets the zero C line down to Southern New Jersey and South of Philly. Now we just need the precipitation to come in while it's still cold enough the third wave looks warm across the board
  2. binbisso
    Yeah but I have to figure out how to post them on here anyway go to pivotal weather and click on high-res euro zoom into the Northeast click on winter weather and then click on total accumulated snowfall
  3. binbisso
    I think we going to see at least some Frozen with one of these waves specially for the city north and west. Climo would favor a more Southward progression with the front but we shall see
  4. binbisso
    The euro is similar to the UK it drops several inches of snow with the second wave before we torch and rain with the third wave. The trend has been for the cold to press Southward and the trough to be flatter and more positively tilted let's see if that can continue with the third wave
  5. binbisso
    I should also add that the vortex will be over Hudson Bay and not over Alaska which is more favorable for our area
  6. binbisso
    February is looking entirely different than January. First it looks very active January was very dry secondly the negative EPO is going to allow for cold air to be close by so I think we're going to time one of these waves or maybe two during the first half of the month but we shall see you can also add in the mjo at least during in the first week should be in the c o d and not in any Amplified warm phase
  7. binbisso
    Yes the third wave is very warm on the UK and we all know the GFS is not all snow there's a lot of sleet and freezing rain on their snowfall Maps
  8. binbisso
    Today's UK met shows 2 to 3 in across the area with the second wave according to pivotal weather maps
  9. binbisso
    Yes not going to make difference for dc but Shift that system North a hundred miles and there would be frozen for many in this sub forum. Obviously that's going off the Euro run verbatim we know all the caveats that apply to a 7-Day system
  10. binbisso
    Ok yes i agree.
  11. binbisso
    Yes that's because the primary was north of Detroit. If the system next week stays under us we could have Frozen even down to the coast
  12. binbisso
    Euro also has the day 9/10 system as the GFS and CMC verbatim too warm for the coast but snow not too far to our Northwest still plenty of time to work out the details on this. Definitely looks like a period to watch
  13. binbisso
    It's a pretty classic setup a 1047 MB high pressure is tough to move out in mid January. I don't think the models are going to have a tough time with this one still have about 48 hours before the shortwave gets into better sampling area off the northwest coast. Also the G EFS wants to transfer the low south of us which could keep precipitation more on the Frozen side even down to the coast but we shall see
  14. binbisso
    Well the Euro just came in much colder with a weaker surface low and stronger high pressure to our North 4 to 6 in on the clown Maps for all the big cities from Philly to Boston and the northwest suburbs
  15. binbisso
    http://<img src="https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/ensplume_small.gif" alt="GFS MJO index ensemble plume"/> changes continue for mjo. edit: can someone explain how to insert images to my posts
  16. binbisso
    Yes don i agree with when and duration of the pattern change. One could argue the extended eps is the best look so far this winter. It did nail this torch period and has done better than the gefs since dec 1st.
  17. binbisso
    I really can't explain it but I have this condition since I was a kid and I am now in my late 50s. I remember my 14th birthday I got a weather radio that used to broadcast in megahertz I'd wake up every morning at 4:30 a.m. when the new update came out. what I do like is tracking snow storms and how the landscape looks during and after. The one thing I hate is driving in it
  18. binbisso
    I just pulled up next to a salt spreader truck in the Bronx I rolled down my window the driver rolled down his I told him you'll be getting plenty of overtime in about two weeks he looked at me like I was nuts he said I hope so I said me too
  19. binbisso
    Not a single post about the upcoming pattern in over 3 hours. EPS looks good starting around day 8 and only getting better. Negative EPO positive PNA showing up later in the Run. I guess if a South East Ridge was going to pop in the long range or the mjo was going into the warm phases they'll be post after post here.every other sub-forum is buzzing with optimism except here.
  20. binbisso
    Yeah it will be great to get phase 8 heading into our snowiest month should make February very interesting
  21. binbisso
    Also of note if long-range guidance is correct it doesn't look like we go below normal and dry but it looks very active love the lower Heights just north of Hawaii in the extended. Maybe we can salvage part of January after all
  22. binbisso
    That's a big change on the GE FS rmm plots for the mjo. Takes it through 6 very Amplified almost to phase 7 at the end. Yesterday had the wave dying off in six and looping back towards five. Also if guidance is remotely correct starting next week Thursday we look to more seasonable to below-normal temperatures while the mjo is still in its warm phases
  23. binbisso
    Yeah it's going to be insane you get the UK set up and that's a bad ice storm for central New England North maybe even pressing down into our farthest northwest suburbs. If you get that second shortwave to weaken as has been the case inside of five days this winter so far that's definitely a possibility. also 60s New York City on South teens Albany North what a temperature contrast
  24. binbisso
    Snowing light to moderate a few tenths of an inch on the coldest surfaces here in the South Bronx at work
  25. binbisso
    Yes I agree not saying we're going to have accumulating snow on Sunday especially for the coast but the trend has been further south and colder. If the upper level low closes off South of us and we get some good banding there's definitely a chance we see some accumulations interesting how this was supposed to be a warm cutter several days ago
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