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Posts posted by Rhino16
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1 hour ago, mappy said:
Spent the day in Richmond attending the mid Atlantic severe weather conference. So much good weather research going on these days, and got to meet a lot of folks I’ve known from Twitter in broadcast meteorology and emergency management.
There were lots of interesting topics! Not all of it I understand quite yet, but probably by next year I’ll know more.
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Flurries have begun!
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Staying up to hopefully see my first flakes here in blacksburg. I think I’ve seen one but could have been a bug. If I haven’t yet I should in the next hour or so.
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DCA_NYC_BOS__ ORD_ATL_IAH__ DEN_ PHX_ SEA
-0.9_-1.5_-1.0__ 1.5_1.5_1.5__ 2.0_ 0.5_ 0.7
Just to be sure, NYC is JFK right? Not that it changes my numbers or anything.
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Does anyone know how accurate the daily climate data reports are? One said it snowed a trace along with a trace of rainfall on the 16th of this month, but the low was 42… I’m having a hard time believing it.
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17 hours ago, Jebman said:
Many people are going to suffer horribly from this El Nino. It has already been seen in Acapulco with the unbelievable strengthening of Otis. They had no warning at all. Weather forecasters should be totally embarrassed.
Tonight, I got snuckered in really bad by this weather system to my west. I was so scared, horrified of being caught in a deep rushing flood as I drove by one of hundreds of low water crossings, that I decided not to go out on my beloved deliveries. Only to find out that the weather system to our west has not moved a g-ddamned inch all night! I just missed out on what would probably have been one of the greatest delivery nights of my entire lifetime! That's not the worst of it though. The worst of it is some other shmuck got all my orders tonight, because I was too damn SCARED of drowning in a so-called rainstorm that the National Weather Service got wrong as sin! Well here I am, all disappointed, missed a whole night of deliveries, and I am high and FRACKING DRY!! Isnt it like the Texas NWS to completely fruck up per usual! Every one of those posers need to go back to elementary school!
Texas is incapable of forecasting weather down here. That system never moved one frackin' INCH in 8 hours! Not ONE INCH east! And I missed a whole night of deliveries! And someone else got all the money I would have made tonight, IF I had known what a monumental fruck up Austin NWS is and always has been for at least the past 30 years!
I dont care about rain, I love delivering, especially at 5am in pitch black dangerous neighborhoods like southeast DC. I am the very BEST delivery person the entire world has ever heard of, except in rainstorms. Because of the hundreds of low water crossings I have to cross. That's why I got so scared of going out tonight. The ground is very wet, they forecasted 1-3 inches with 4-6 inches in spots. The weather system in question is still about 70 miles to my west and I missed out on an entire night of delivering. I like delivering food far better than getting to watch a 70 inch snowstorm bury Washington DC.
At least you’re safe! Forecasting is hard from what I’ve learned trying to do it. Someone described it as it’s like guessing where the first bubble will appear in a pot of water on the stove.
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5 hours ago, mattie g said:
For sure.
Definitely not the same thing, but it's like how Denver often gets snow. It's 60 and sunny for days on end and then they get dumped on at 15 degrees.
Then it warms up again very quickly to 60! I think because the air warms coming down the mountain.
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The first wooly bear I’ve seen was all black. However, it was dead. Not a good sign.
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Had James Spann as a guest speaker today. Interesting speaker.
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On 10/2/2023 at 3:29 AM, Roger Smith said:
I am away from base for a couple of days so table of forecasts may not appear until Oct 4, can somebody in NYC group give BKV and r16 a message re contest deadline?
I wasn’t even checking the forum, was busy with tests and weekly forecasting contests at school. I appreciate the reminder, but got sick so didn’t feel like making one this month.
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7 hours ago, Cobalt said:
Whenever my oceanography professor mentions something related to cold/snow in our area, he prefaces it by saying "if we ever have a winter again". I feel like he'd be a perfect fit in this subforum.
One of my met profs is a complete snow lover. Just makes me like the class more.
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DCA: 11/8
IAD: 11/7
BWI: 11/8
RIC: 11/7
BWI Oct Dep: +1.3
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6 hours ago, wxdude64 said:
What a super day past 24 hours has been, high 75.1, low (and current) 47.3. I see what small growing season Caanan had is done, currently 24 degrees at the NWR station.
Canaan is weird. It was apparently almost as cold there as somewhere in the rockies. (Can’t remember where, wasn’t paying attention in class)
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On 9/13/2023 at 1:53 PM, mappy said:
Fun! Glad you were able to go to that!
Also, for anyone who may be interested in the Mid-Atlantic Severe Conference in Richmond in early November, I am going to go!
VT’s Met club will have a table there so I’ll probably go home for that!
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67° in Blacksburg after some rain earlier, really nice to have some cool weather. Also just finished Skywarn so that’s cool.
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1 minute ago, BlizzardNole said:
That is crazy seeing 8.87 and just a short distance away near Centerville 0.18
Similar story here. My side of town has 1”-1.5” and downtown has 5.5”
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Missed the heaviest rain in blacksburg, but down near the stadium has had 4” or more and flooding occurred. Guessing I have half that despite being only a mile and a half away.
Also: poor planning for the game.
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Apparently Richmond got some good wind? All I got in blacksburg was some big raindrops before met club. More rain on the way though!
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Does anyone know what’s going on with that super warm blob in the TT Sea Surface Temperature map in the North Atlantic view? Underwater volcano or something?
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16 minutes ago, CAPE said:
Damn corn sweat
It's all feed corn around here and its pretty dried up now. They should be harvesting soon.
We touched on it in class, but I forgot to ask, does corn sweat actually change the storms in the area in any meaningful way?
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3 minutes ago, Jebman said:
Perhaps I should start one lol?
I could use another Jebman blizzard scenario to get the snow brain racing.
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Very good albeit sad post. That’s a lot of time to put into something! Also a reminder I need to freshen up on my statistics.
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+0.8 _ +0.6 _ +0.4 __ +1.2 _ +0.9 _ +0.8 __ +1.1 _ +0.3 _ -0.6
MD WxAware - spotters needed
in Mid Atlantic
Posted
Is this to help get people involved in the warning verification process, so that it makes the NWS’ work a bit easier?