NorthHillsWx

People calling bust when 13 deaths have already occurred from this outbreak is insane.

I think it may underperform in MS a bit as the radar has gotten incredibly messy but Alabama has clean air and is maxing on daytime heating, it may just be a bit further east

The storms yesterday and today have occurred in the two worst radar holes for severe weather in the US. NE LA/SE AR and SE MO

Convection this morning has largely missed the high risk area. That was probably the biggest inhibitor today if it had materialized and stabilized the atmosphere somewhat. I expect an explosive afternoon and a lot of PDS warnings

Multiple fatalities reported in Missouri from yesterdays tornadoes

This does not bode well for tomorrow

Major outbreak ongoing in Midwest. Debris sigs on at least 6 storms right now

There are currently 4 PDS TOR warnings

This looks like an extreme tornado outbreak for the Deep South. Not comparing to 2011 yet but there are many more reasons to think this will be a severe outbreak than there are limitations.

Was not expecting to be locked in with a wedge today. 49 and overcast, occasionally drizzly. Upper 60s forecast high in serious danger of busting now

This looks like a non event in central Carolina’s. Euro and Canadian don’t even hardly rain here

We are so lucky this pattern held off till spring…

I thought that yesterday…

The Low responsible for the stiff breeze and chilly night is absolutely wound up this morning off the NC coast. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=nwatl&product=vis_swir

This low pressure is absolutely exploding off the Carolina coast

It really is. Only been spitting here off and on and you can watch the returns evaporate as they get north. Does look to be consolidating more to our south. Could be a dreary evening if that makes it north

Rain has started here. This looks like a rather potent low will form later today/tonight off the coast. Too bad this couldn’t coincide with cold air like the GFS showed earlier in the week

Significantly undershot guidance here this morning, 34.5 with fairly heavy frost

Low of 38 this morning

Why not us?

The second day unexpected fatties were awesome. Sledding on the second day of a storm with legit tennis balls coming down was an incredible experience With my 3 year old

You deserved it. What an awesome storm for your area

Normally I’d agree here but given we hadn’t seen snow in 3 years the bar was lowered. Also, you missed the second January storm . Next year is the big storm year I can feel it

Being IMBY we received more than the airport in the last storm, where I’m sure this was taken, we were above average. To me, average-above average snow, multiple events and warnings, and prolonged cold is an A for winter. We had much more snow in the 2018-19 winter (6-8”) but it was all from one event and the rest of the winter was a complete torch with nothing to track and I’m pretty sure I graded that as a “C”. So no, snow totals do not always dictate the grade of a winter. Seeing all snow events and prolonged cold is unusual for here in ANY winter. Heck, we had two snows where the temp for the duration of the event was below 28 and I saw snow in Raleigh at 20 degrees! That’s pretty rare. Solid A

We only got to 33.7, clouds moved in about 4:00 and ended the cooling. Sanford somehow fell to 26 this morning. I frost seeded clover food plots in early February and checked them yesterday and found it was already coming up. I bet we get a couple more freezes. Two years ago opening day turkey season (mid April) was 26 degrees at my farm in Franklin county