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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. It didn’t have the storm before this run so that’s a win
  2. I will do whatever ritualistic sacrifice the snow gods demand for this forum to see the 12z GFS into fruition
  3. I mean my god. Model run for the ages. That’s a blizzard under the deformation band too
  4. Give me sitting on the northern edge of that snow band at this range all day knowing the trend that inevitably will come but I’ll take a 987 off Wilmington all day
  5. My god. It’s beautiful. Slightly south. But beautiful
  6. Might relocate my family to Shreveport to see some snow
  7. Canadian is an absolutely crippling ice storm for the favored CAD regions
  8. This is noise at this point but as modeled at 6z, that GLL really messes with the BL temps for the Jan 9-11 system. Not enough to rain but it cuts off the arctic feed we’d been seeing in many previous runs.
  9. It’s crazy how much models have backed off on the cold, regardless of snow chances.
  10. Ejects the SW earlier and we get a quicker phase. Jan 10 miller A with snow through the Deep South and most of Carolina’s. Haven’t seen a storm track like that in many a moon
  11. RDU smoked. Beautiful. Miller A. Perfect Track. We gladly take. Lock it in!!!
  12. This GFS run is what I’d expect from the pattern. This was not a southern storm but it’s too cold before to avoid ice. Lots of watching to go but I still feel strongly this will be a CAD mixed event. Duration and impact obviously TBD
  13. RDU will pick up 0.10” 1 hour before we otherwise would break the record and that will be it for the year. Don’t get to claim the record and don’t get enough to cover the mulch. Bank on it.
  14. This is a case where a stronger cutter would actually benefit us down the road setting up the 50/50 further west. I’m not sure these southern trends with the first system help us down the road. Might lead to an all or nothing situation with the first storm which we’d like to avoid at all costs
  15. This is the pattern those areas need to score. Actual suppression with true Arctic air
  16. EURO is really close. It wants to smoke someone wherever that overrunning finger sets up.
  17. It may just be noise but all 3 models went south this run at 12z regarding the first storm
  18. EURO is a giant hit for middle Virginia but is way way south from 6z
  19. Euro looks like it’s coming in much further south this run with the first system
  20. The system on the 6th is absolutely critical to whatever comes next bc it becomes our 50/50 low. Until the 6th storm is ironed out it’s going to be impossible to figure out the next one. This is a highly volatile period for models with the second storm being totally dependent on the evolution of the first, so that follow up system just being present is all we can ask for. I’d say this whether it was showing a HECS or a miss to the south
  21. I still like the idea of a CAD system on the 6th. I think something between the EURO and GFS. Don’t think this is a snowstorm unfortunately unless it tracks way south which seems to be an outlier idea at the moment but given the antecedent airmass and HP over NE I doubt the system is all rain
  22. If we got the 6th system I would be rooting hard for the extreme southern folks and coastal Carolina’s to cash in on the 10th system as my snowpack would be locked in lol
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