NorthHillsWx

This is a little different than the cold chasing moisture event a couple weeks ago. In this case the front has already passed through and there’s a secondary LP developing in the colder air. The airmass isn’t nearly as cold as the last couple we’ve used and it’s always delayed over the mountains but I wouldn’t call this a “classic” case of cold chasing moisture

From RAH. Improved storm signal but climo favors limited accumulation due to nature of cold chasing precip: Both deterministic and ensemble guidance of the GFS/ECMWF/CMC have gotten wetter, which has resulted in more ensemble members producing measurable snow. The best chance would be across the north. However, this is a case of cold air "chasing" the precipitation, which typically results in limited snowfall if any across our area. Still certainly worth monitoring.

Nice improvement at 500 mb on ICON, surface didn’t change much

Cracked 40 for first time since January 23

Cracked 40 for first time since January 23

Glutton for punishment I guess. Didn’t think we’d see you in here either But you’re already in the thread… and you had to look for it since it’s not pinned

More snow on the 3k NAM for RDU than it had on the Saturday morning run for the past storm…

Love backing into an event. Nice not having to worry about model runs for a week+ and just being happy if we end up getting anything

Was literally about to say this. Only way this one works given marginal BL temps is nighttime snowfall

It’s been pretty locked in. What does the new King say?

EURO NW trend over last 4 runs is pretty impressive. Definitely has me thinking this turns into the roxboro special

EURO trying to reel us in…

There wasn’t a single county that didn’t record less than 3” somewhere in the county. Warnings are county-level, so every county verified. True, not every spot verified. My 2.6” was under, and it sucked

That’s a good point- to verify simply with snow alone has to be in incredibly rare territory.

AI models have been pretty consistently bullish on this system. BL temps the major issue but they are pretty impressive at 500mb, kinda what 12z GFS went to

That’s actually a pretty big increase from 0z right?

What an epic storm. One literally some of our kids will be posting about in here in 20 years. I’ll put my wake county grievances aside (though everyone in the county is justified in theirs) but EVERY county in the state verified warning criteria.

I actually agree, Start it up. Inside 3 days and the signal appears to be across most if not all modeling. Let’s run it back. Screw the negativity from the wake county folks everyone will be happy if we get a coating. It wasn’t supposed to be able to snow in the south anymore, remember? Now we’re bickering over not getting 6” lol

My kids have had more snow days than we’ve had inches of snow this year

It’s going to torch today. We have gone from 12 to 28 already, the last of Saturdays nightmare might be gone by this afternoon

High of 34.0 yesterday and made it down to 12.6 this morning, our coldest reading of the season

Woke up several times with nightmares from Saturday. The next time some says DS with a potential storm, I’m taking my wife and kids and leaving for Florida

We got under the band from the east and it was good stuff, just wished it had last longer

I’m glad you got four, that was pretty good for the Raleigh area. We had 2.6” and I’m very confident with that measurement as it was on the snowboard in a spot without wind. I guess being a little further east put you in the band an hour longer than we were to get more than an inch more. Think the SW side of town was real screw zone, saw a bunch of reports under 2” there Im holding out hope. I’ve had 3 measurable snowfalls and my backyard has been covered for a week plus just got snow on snow. This winter feels like a more classic one we remember from back in the day

2.6” of snow yesterday brought the December-January total to 3.7” between 3 accumulating events