NorthHillsWx

The issue is that without an established Arctic airmass it simply got too warm before start time. This wasn’t a situation where it started at 40 degrees and the wet bulb was 30. It was 40 with a wet bulb of 39. Upper and mid levels are fine, hence all the snow mix, but it is taking too much time to cool lower levels. Cold chasing moisture fail mode #1. Accumulation south of border looks minimal at best. Even Richmond struggled just north of main band though they are snowing good now. My cousin there said they have less than 1” even though it’s been snowing since 8 am. Only areas getting heaviest rates are getting big totals and there is a quick drop off on either side. Central and eastern NC could see some accumulation with some coastal development like the HRRR has been throwing out but this main area of precip isn’t going to produce much for anyone not in Virginia

For the first time, mostly snow now

CC line directly overhead now and just like that snow is mixing back in. 37.9 so I doubt we get low enough for much to stick, sadly

Per CC rain snow line in wake is making quick progress to SE

lol back to just rain

That didn’t take long, already mixing with snow. 50/50 rain snow mix id say

Unfrozen snow falling here now

Cousin in Richmond reports they still don’t have accumulation yet even though it’s been snowing moderately for 3 hours. They may undershoot their forecast significantly. Areas south of their look to be doing better

Temp got up to 40.2 but is falling now, down to 38.8 with no precip yet. Wind is really gusty, strong CAA for those getting precip. Likely a very short transition time to snow. Hoping we can muster a coating here

GFS has been rock solid for days. Will be interesting to see if it scores a mini coup for the fringe counties and we get 1-2” vs a dusting most other models have shown. Southern Va in for a great storm. What a start to winter they are having

Front has come through. Getting some strong N gusts. Temp has risen to nearly 40 though

Snow globe

37, 37 here. Don’t think there’s been a northern trend or really much movement at all in models, just need the precip. The heavier totals in VA are from more precip, not more northern movement of the system. Precip amounts have increased south of there into NC as well. Models have generally been ticking up over the last 3 days especially in Virginia where a legit storm looks likely. Here in NC it’s all about how much precip gets in after the front. Current advisory outline looks correct. I expect 1/2” to 1” for the advisory area increasing to 2-3” for the border. Travel issue should be limited until this evening but overnight/tomorrow morning roads are going to be terrible area wide with the flash freeze coming this evening regardless of whether snow accumulates in your area.

34.2 was the low overnight. Picked up 0.20” yesterday. Nickel and diming our way into putting a dent in this drought

@eyewall that was definitely worth the trek. Beautiful snow. I looked at radar this morning and was happy for you

36.9 with 0.08” in the bucket

North trend much last 3 days? DC looks to be getting it good on radar

Meanwhile my kids have a 2 hour delay for our 39 degrees and drizzle.

I think you nailed it… just looked at traffic webcams in FarmVille it’s ripping. Enjoy

Sleet/rain mix in Raleigh

Low of 30.0 on the dot. Once again, heavy frost

I’d go to @BornAgain13 backyard that looks like a good spot

0z NAM was colder and more snow northern piedmont

Canadian is a beautiful storm for central NC on Monday

Highly highly unlikely in triangle. N of 85 I’d expect some sort of delay if WWA is hoisted, which could happen even for small amounts since it would coincide with rush hour.