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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. If most recent NAM is to be believed this is a low impact event. Through most of the storm most areas receive less than 1/2” QPF, it all rides north of us
  2. It’s like the weather gods hate us. Like every run, just a little worse than the last. For days. Nothing trends good, just a small incremental collapse, pain. If euro verified at least a lot on here have only nuisance ice. Cannot imagine local Mets explaining that off after the hype last 4 days
  3. It was weird, wasn’t really a north trend. Kind of just nukes the wedge
  4. I’ll make a bold proclamation: we never make it past 30 through the event (we being anyone in wake)
  5. Probably just the 12z euro re-named “in house”
  6. I haven’t felt a shred of joy from this sport in over 24 hours thank you gfs for throwing a bone
  7. Yea that was a pretty classic winter storm, just with a lot more moisture than normal. If the sleet areas held the bad ZR would be pretty limited and most would have several inches of concrete with fluff on top. Not a sexy storm but that would be quite fun given the alternatives we’ve seen. Let’s see others trend that way before getting too excited but it’s pretty obvious what needs to happen to achieve somewhat of a win here
  8. GFS holding its own and actually trending more strung out 48 hours out has to count for something right? … right?
  9. Look at QPF trend from 12z to 18z for the Northeast. It did NOT go north and in fact was the exact trend we want, strung out and not as amped
  10. Idk, that has kinda been jumping around a bit on GFS depiction. To me that was more noise than a trend
  11. That’s actually pretty good backside snow. Would be a great topper on the glacier
  12. Everyone please pray GooFuS scores a coup that run just kept central NCs lights on and all of us sledding Monday
  13. Switches most of NC over to snow Sunday night. Much much different look than the amped models. This is a good run, no low cutting up the apps and look what happens with thermals on the backside!!!
  14. GFS is best case scenario here (Raleigh). Almost all sleet
  15. Icon ticking south, more separation between NS and Baja. Even stronger CAD signature. Good trends.
  16. UKIE found reality after taking shrooms at 0z. Much much colder CAD
  17. I mean honestly the CMC didn’t change much if at all from 0z
  18. Yea, it’s a classic winter storm, still better than other guidance re snow/IP. But ZR definitely trending up as well
  19. ICON looks slightly better at 500mb. More separation with the baja low initially
  20. Hour 42 is in NAM range. It’s really beyond 60 hours that you just gotta take it with a grain of salt
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