NorthHillsWx

We finished with 1.11” from Chantal

Obviously hurricanes Florence and Michael had catastrophic flood events for parts of central NC but that was mostly east of the areas impacted by Chantal. I think these areas you’d have to go back to 1996 Hurricane Fran to find anything close to this. You keep seeing the record crests from that storm mentioned in NWS flood forecasts as it was the benchmark for these areas in terms of river flooding which makes this all the more impressive

With the events in Texas this flood event is definitely being overshadowed but this is a devastating flood for parts of NC with several rivers nearing and even exceeding all time record crests

Some places west of Raleigh have seen nearly 1 foot of rain! Forecast was for amounts of 1-4” with isolated totals of 6”. Per RadarScope I’m seeing widespread 5+” totals with several areas more than double that.

About the same here in Raleigh but I’ll take it over the nearly 1 foot near chapel hill. Also the biggest rainfall event here in more than 3 weeks so we’ll definitely take it

In Morehead city we just had a nasty squall move through with likely some 40 mph gusts. Wind is generally 20-25. Looks like ocean isle to Myrtle beach got a decent little blow from this storm overnight

Several buoys just east of Charleston are now measuring gusts around 40 kts on the west side of the circulation. With strongest winds on east side it may be a little stronger than 35 kts already

The system looks much more organized this morning with the COC more easily found on first visible images this morning. Overnight convection mainly east of the center has continued and there are some new bursts just east of it as I speak. With shear decreasing and an improved look this morning I would expect steady strengthening until landfall. Probably a 50-55kt ceiling. NHC notes the possibility of center reformation under the bursting convection and the storm has consistently been moving east of track so I wouldn’t be surprised if areas further north than current watch area, maybe up to cape lookout, end up seeing some of the worst weather from this lopsided storm

Satellite imagery is a bit deceiving as the MLC is well east of surface circulation and surface center is diffuse. Will be interesting what NHC goes with at 5, but it’s not far off from a name. IMO this very likely gets named and areas east of landfall have a nasty weekend

It’s a bit of a radar hole but we nickel and dimed our way to 0.32” which is enough to water the yard for the first time in almost 2 weeks Picked up 0.27” more from a couple evening storms. 0.59” on the day

Despite 80-90% rain chances last night we’re sitting at 0.00” storm total here for the front

Monthly stats: Highest temp: 100.8 Days above 100: 3 Rainfall: 1.83” Finished last 10 days of month without rain (except 0.02 over 2 days)

10 days since our last rain and still just 1.83” for the month looks likely to be our total

Missed thunderstorm roulette again but what a beautiful outflow-cooled evening

Awesome afternoon. Played putt putt with the kids and didn’t die like expected

It’s been a wet month for the state my house has been about the only rain hole there has been. Honestly we haven’t had a heavy rain this month. Thankfully first couple weeks provided consistent rains

Hit 100 for 3rd time in 5 days… 100.2 today and managed to miss thunderstorm roulette again. Our 1.83” monthly total looking extremely weak compared to everyone else

98.4, HI 105. Considerably hotter than yesterday here

Topped out at 95 but good news was HI was mostly 100 or less as humidity was way down from last few days

It’s really not that bad out here today. Currently 91 with a HI of 99. Sadly, that feels fine after the last few days

Sometimes storms pick a spot and it just wants to rain there. You’re more than 8” ahead of our monthly total. Storms went all around my yard yesterday afternoon and last night. Rained for probably 3 hours total we picked up 0.02”

Picked up a grand total of 0.02” even though it thundered for at least 4 hours straight. Temps did drop below our morning low, all the way to 78.7

Outflow-cooled 89 now feels like fall lol. Storm east of here has an incredible amount of thunder coming from it

We hit 100.8 but mercifully an outflow from those storms hit and we’ve fallen to 95.1