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NorthHillsWx

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  1. NorthHillsWx
    Depending on structure when this gets back over water I’m not sure we don’t see another cat 5 landfall on Cuba. Environment is still extremely conducive until the Cuban landfall when shear will begin to increase
  2. NorthHillsWx
    I was thinking this too as a result of the continued westward drift. It also avoids the highest terrain if it stays west. As for intensity, the NE eyewall most definitely came ashore at peak intensity. Perhaps it filled a few mb before the center crossed but being the strongest winds were already onshore it does not matter
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Over 1” storm total with plenty more on the way
  4. NorthHillsWx
    48.5 here. Impressive
  5. NorthHillsWx
    Based on satellite landfall probably coming in next 15-20 min
  6. NorthHillsWx
    There will definitely be areas that see gusts 220+ where some of the higher terrain interacts with the eyewall. I cannot emphasize enough the wind event from this storm especially on an island with higher terrain will maximize the wind seen on the ground. Absolutely incredible
  7. NorthHillsWx
    It’s possible but I think it bends back right as it comes onshore. Regardless he is in the absolute worst spot to be wind wise and is taking the full brunt at his location
  8. NorthHillsWx
    Jamaican land is now visible inside the clear eye of a 185 mph sub 900 mb monster
  9. NorthHillsWx
    He’s still got nearly 70 mb to go
  10. NorthHillsWx
    Eye is about to be directly over Josh. He couldn’t have positioned himself better to get the dead center of this storm
  11. NorthHillsWx
    Unfortunately it is coming in at peak strength and with some forward speed meaning that eastern side will maximize wind gusts. Dire situation in Jamaica. Coming in daylight, maybe Josh can get the stadium captured. This is going to be one of the strongest hurricane landfalls in history.
  12. NorthHillsWx
    This storm could’ve worked in January. 1035 building into NE with a low developing about 80 miles off the coast. Not to mention overrunning for about 24 hours
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Yep. We’re getting close to 1” now too. This is perfect for the severe drought areas
  14. NorthHillsWx
    Over 1/2” with more to come. Thinking 1” here is on the table
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Tropical tidbits down for me
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Much needed soaking rains across the Carolina’s and Georgia, just what the Dr ordered
  17. NorthHillsWx
    First pass shows no real structural changes. No evidence of an outer eyewall development and no real pressure changes. Winds about the same. Let’s see what’s in the NE eyewall. I will say from a sat perspective this is the best the storms has looked.
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Might be most photogenic eye photos from recon in history
  19. NorthHillsWx
    https://x.com/reedtimmerusa/status/1982917665669669192?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g
  20. NorthHillsWx
    That it’s a possibility now is quite shocking. These wobbles we’ve been watching for days now have extreme meaning given 2/3 of Jamaica is now probably too far right to be reasonably at threat for a direct landfall. I’m not saying it will miss but NHC explicitly has it heading NNE now on its track and it has definitely dipped due west. It will not take much more at all to miss entirely
  21. NorthHillsWx
    I will say if this gets to about 79W it would have the chance to miss wide left given the forecast angle of recurve
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Is there a chance this thing misses Jamaica? Like I know no model shows it and it would be an epic modeling fail of even more epic proportions but dang if this doesn’t keep dragging further west when everything has it riding N or NE now
  23. NorthHillsWx
    One thing about the western shifts in track that might make this even more unlucky is we are getting close to a point where it could directly hit every potential landmass: Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas, and Bermuda. Bermuda now squarely in play
  24. NorthHillsWx
    It’s actually wobbling south of due west again. What an impactful forecast where we don’t even know when the turn of a cat 5 will happen that will determine the literal fate of some towns on the south coast
  25. NorthHillsWx
    It definitely is. Looks like it’s just now starting to gain some latitude
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