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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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Looks like Erin has made the turn to the north
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
NorthHillsWx replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
This is the one that has my attention. Early indications are mixed about ridging over the Atlantic in time but it is starting at a lower latitude than Erin and very likely will impact the islands more directly than Erin -
I’d say direct impacts are still unlikely but if EURO is correct it wouldn’t surprise me to see tropical storm advisories hoisted and given the expected size and wind field of the storm wave run up and over wash are almost a guaranteed issue at this point. I was there last week with the full moon and nor Easter and there wasn’t any beach at all
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EURO GFS and ICON are all uncomfortably close to OBX now
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Erin is trending uncomfortably close to the OBX
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917, 160 mph. Holy moly
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What a freaking specimen
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FL was just shy of 150kts and with SFMR more than supportive of a 5 in both SW and NE eyewalls I personally think there’s enough for an upgrade. Min pressure tanking through the 920s also firmly supports it
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That was a well-timed pass for the ages
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160kt SFMR with 145 kt FL wind. We might have ourselves a 5
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The eye just moved into San Juan’s radar range and it is a perfect donut
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Pretty good example of the potential in the SW Atlantic this season.
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She’s a beaut, Clark
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At present it looks like the track for Erin has ticked west enough to cause the least amount of impacts to land. Bermuda, while not out of the woods, seems to avoid the core on most modeling now as it splits the island and obx
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Parts of Raleigh had significant flooding AGAIN last night. We were on northern edge but some areas saw up to 3” of rain. Our 0.67” brings the monthly total to 9.06”
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I’d thought we missed the rain today but I was wrong. It’s pouring. Made it up to 86.7 but with dewpoints in the upper 70’s it felt like it was almost 100
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High of 82.9 low of 71.6 humidity brought heat index into mid 90’s though. 0.53” of additional rain brings the MTD total to 8.39”
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I’m shocked there wasn’t a flood watch this week. I think we’re under our third flash flood warning of the week
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Let’s just add the entire western basin into the cone…
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Did this sub forum trade climates with Seattle?
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Todays 1.32” brings the mtd total to 7.86”. 80.8 for the high 71.8 for the low and obviously very humid with all the rainfall. Soggy would be an understatement describing the condition of my yard
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Another inch of rain down… More to come today?
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Yesterday’s 1.94” brings the monthly total to 6.54” here. Incredible flooding in parts of Raleigh yesterday like we haven’t seen in a very long time. It all came down in about 2 hours and some areas got 5-6” in that time
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We finished with .56” yesterday which brought our MTD total to 4.60”. Incredible day today, currently 78 just barely hit 80 earlier
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Did we jump to October? Currently 67 with moderate rain and a stiff NE breeze. 0.36” additional so far 4.29” event total