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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. Everyone was, I’m not saying it’s bad. But two days ago model QPF trended way down and most dismissed it. Not calling anyone out but it is what it is. That being said, this is awesome sledding. Best street sledding since I’ve lived in my current house (2018)
  2. WRAL had the triangle in the “crippling” category yesterday
  3. There’s no two ways to spin this- serious forecast bust. Thankfully for those in ice areas
  4. Funny how this went from 10+” of snow to a crippling ice storm to what in all likelihood looks like 1” of sleet with a glaze aka just a travel stopper
  5. I have no idea how it’s possible but the sleet is actually mixing with snow now
  6. It’s not getting above freezing unless we get a heavy squall that brings the warm nose down. With how weak QPF is I kinda doubt that line will be as modeled once it hits the wedge. I think ice storm averted
  7. It’s been steadfast. It will be hard to unwedge from 21 degrees unless we get that heavy squall line, imo. Rare to start a wedge event at 19
  8. Maybe 1/2” sleet. Very little ZR. Precip looks limited at best. RAH expects everyone to get above freezing in central NC and last batch and most remaining QPF to be all rain. Thinking ice storm cancel? NAM appears to have kicked butt. Roads are awful, sleet ice mix stuck to everything. It’s 21 so I’m not surprised
  9. Worried for yall. This has transitioned from a midlands SC to SW VA ice storm
  10. I’m still confused where all the precip is coming from… radar looks weak
  11. ZR in Raleigh. Some IP mixing. So much for sleet saving us, glaze on everything. QPF only limiting factor now
  12. We must’ve completely lost our blocking. This thing just wants to ride north
  13. Cold isn’t the main question, it’s whether there’s enough precip to cause big issues
  14. Yea, I’m going with RAH but them cutting totals in half from 7 am to 4 pm didn’t exude the notion they have much confidence in what they’re putting out. Nor is the the high end of almost tripling their predicted total. Pretty much their graphics say you could have anywhere between 0.20” and 0.85” of ice, a winter weather advisory or the worst Ice storm in your history. I mean I could get paid to make those call maps
  15. I am speaking for the Carolina’s and Georgia. Y’all are confirmed and guaranteed to be under the firehouse we thought we were going to be under. Virginia is going to be a glacier come Monday
  16. No one *knows* what this is going to do. It seemed LOCKED IN for a major ice storm. Now, we’ve got Mets doubling down, Mets refusing to make a call till go time, Mets cutting totals in half, Mets flip flopping with each model run, Mets calling out other Mets? weather apps spitting out 8” of snow, people wondering if their power will be out for days or if theyll be at work Monday. I mean this is absurd.
  17. In all the storms we’ve tracked here this is my least favorite and it’s not even close
  18. NAM is honestly a nuisance event in Raleigh. 0.30” of mixed QPF then the rest is plain old rain. WTF are we getting an ice storm or insignificant slop?
  19. Hopefully they’re right, 0.30” though still impactful is nowhere close to what happens when you approach 0.50” I guess that’s why they waited to pull the trigger on the warning
  20. Yea, that was a pretty drastic step back. Haven’t seen much that supported the original amounts recently but they went below most everything I’ve seen come out
  21. RAH really cut ice totals back for Raleigh. 0.36” forecast, nearly cut in half from earlier. Anyone know what their thinking is on that? Less QPF and warmer? Seems like a huge step back but thankfully impacts would be significantly better
  22. It already has busted thermals bc of a GLL it’s gonna rain
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