NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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RAH making tweaks to warnings. We’ll see if advisories expand westward
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Yep. It’s a firehose into NO
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Here’s a ground report from Lafayette from my family: 6-8” already. Just had thundersnow! Cannot see houses across the street. 2 foot drifts around house. Pics look like full on blizzard. Wish I could post them. They have a lot of snow to come. Might crack 10”
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That’s a big uptick here.
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That’s a bingo! Agreed. You’ll go from flurries to 1” quick given how little moisture will be needed for 1”
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12z GFS is WAYYYY west
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What a cold winter. We’d forgotten what these were
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Really think the triangle is in a great spot to break the 1” snow drought
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I think Wake county gets 1-2” tonight. Triad will be tricky with the edge but I think you go from no accumulation to 1” pretty quick then you have a large area of 1-2” before the coastal plain increase
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1/21-1/22 Winter Storm OBS Thread
NorthHillsWx replied to metalicwx367's topic in Southeastern States
21.2/6.3 -
The NAM drops .2-.3” QPF in the central piedmont of NC tonight. It was 0.05-0.10” last night. This will be a much bigger deal in a hurry if we get .2” QPF in these temps. I would not write off an over performer (2”) for piedmont areas given latest and continued NW trends
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Ummm yea, about those models. WWA for us. Seems likely to keep expanding NW
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This hobby takes a toll on your sanity
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FV3 and NAM gonna be good runs for central NC
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Not going to lie, watching the Euro join the trend with everything else is giving me hope. This is the first time we’ve had consensus on a trend across suites. When the euro headfaked everyone a couple days ago everything else was going opposite direction. One thing that seems locked in is New Orleans getting historic snowfall amounts. I have family in Lafayette and they are beyond excited. If we get snow it’ll make me much more happy to cheer for the gulf coast, lol
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And the sky is still blue
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So tonight, after having just the FV3 giving my area snow this morning, the GFS, EURO, ICON, NAM, and FV3 all have snow here. That’s a pretty significant cross model shift at least here. Keep in mind we’re not talking big amounts. At this point 1/2” seems like a win. I’m not expecting a big storm by any means. By 1” is certainly back on the table
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An inch would be epic to me at this point
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I love this place.
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I love the GFS so very much. The definition of consistency
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GFS gets 0.05-0.10” all the way to the NW triad this run. Keep in mind 0.15” probably gets you an inch in these temps. Really not a huge adjustment needed to get impactful snows across the piedmont if these trends continue
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Honestly I may log off again bc since I left pretty much everything trended this direction
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MAYBE we gave up just a little early….
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GFS gonna push the precip way NW from previous runs I believe
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I kinda laid off models for a little while but looking at this afternoons data I’d feel much better about accumulations in eastern NC than yesterday! Very positive trends there
