NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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I still feel pretty good. The overall setup looks great and the storm is still showing. 7-8 days out that’s where we want to be. Definitely want to see a slower more consolidated storm start to show but euro and Canadian are showing that and GFS took baby steps that direction this evening
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Agreed this is a beautiful setup. Especially in a Nina. This one will sting if we don’t capitalize because this is a major winter storm pattern and given the timing it is very likely our last chance this year.
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CMC is an epic sleet bomb for a lot on NC and then turns into a nor easter and big storm for MA Agreed. A strung out mess isn’t going to do it. Canadian and Euro are what we want. Gfs from last night developed the second wave, kind of like the Canadian is doing
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Agreed, but there were some positive changes as well. Slightly slower, stronger HP and better ridging north of us. Leads to a colder solution. It also hangs some energy back, which could be the way we get a storm here. Not an awesome run but not a total disaster like 18z
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GFS is much improved at H5 and much colder. Also seems like it brings back the second wave idea. So far a much better run up above
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Looks eerily like yesterdays storm
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Zelia has rapidly intensified into a beast. Pretty sparse area but there are a few towns that may get hit. Absolutely crazy RI -
This is honestly a pretty straightforward setup. Timing is everything. Models in remarkable agreement on overall look
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EURO is a major winter storm for most of NC and VA.
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BL Temps are not an issue on the euro. We’re in mid 20’s for most the storm. Honestly looks like a sleet bomb
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Would be ironic if all winter energy holding back too long killed us and then in the best pattern we get it ejects too fast for a proper phase and outruns the cold
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So far the GFS is kinda on an island timing wise. Let’s hope it trends towards other guidance. H5 isn’t much different it just gets the storm here before the cold
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Crush job for you
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GFS once again is fast and warm
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Shears out then bombs out on coast. Unfortunately mid levels are trashed and it’s a major ice/sleet fest in central NC. Triad/Virginia special. Very GFS-like
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EURO looks great so far
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18z GFS gonna be out before the 12z EURO
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All that for my 1.9” of snow
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I want to congratulate the SE Forum on doing the impossible: we are 130 pages deep on the 2025 mid-long range thread. The 2024 mid to long range thread only made it to 109 pages. We have successfully blown past all of last year and we did it in early February
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Take my money. I’ll buy that look at this range every day and twice on Sunday
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Yes, everything has shown a storm for central NC from 0z last night till the 12z runs today. Only the GFS has trended warmer. EURO issue has been it’s a late bloomer but has had a good track for us. We’ve seen big hits from the EURO, GFS, CMC in the last 3 cycles and decent hit from the ICON with a good look from the UK at range. Good spot to be in at this range
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Oh gotcha
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EURO is a major snowstorm for central/eastern NC and SE VA. Someone was able to get some panels in the MA forum
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Stuck under 40 degrees for two full days with nearly 2” of liquid and all of about 10 min of a wintry mix to show for it. We’ll get our revenge next week when we get 15” of snow though
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Stuck at 38.8. Thought we would’ve made it into the 40’s when the rain stopped but it’s been stuck here for an hour
