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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. Almost exact same here. Low of 36.9 this morning
  2. I’ll give it a generous C simply bc we broke the streak and had two events. Both events stayed below freezing and covered my street. Also, the cold was impressive and a pleasant surprise. Cannot sugarcoat meager snowfall amounts. My 1.9” season total leaves much to be desired. Also doing post mortem in January is probably premature, but maybe we’ll reverse jinx the sh*t pattern we’re heading into
  3. Oh she’s coming. When the always cold Canadian is throwing out mid 70’s in early February you can kiss winter goodbye
  4. Extended SER looks inevitable. Hope everyone enjoyed the winter weather they received
  5. Long range looks quite torchy with our good friend the SER
  6. Sad seeing this place die. Was a fun month
  7. Eastern Carolina’s are solidly in moderate drought with some severe drought areas starting to show
  8. 25.0 this morning. Definitely the last really cold morning of this impressive stretch
  9. I’ll go out on a limb and say that they probably meant the current pattern bc that would top some of the weenie cancel winter posts on here
  10. It’s been a fairly successful prediction last 6 years
  11. Looks to me like our stretch of Fail Februarys will continue
  12. 22.1 for the low this morning, almost feels normal now
  13. Post Tropical Cyclone report from Beryl is out. Winds up to 80 kts in Texas (up from 70) and way down to 80 kts (from 95 operationally) in the Yucatán. Somewhat surprisingly they decreased winds to 120 kts at its landfall in Carriacou. Peak was 145 kts so still cat 5
  14. I remember waking up to the sound of trees cracking and transformers blowing. That (5 days) and hurricane Fran (8 days) were the longest we were ever without power
  15. This is going under the radar but 74% of NC is in a moderate drought now and given the forecast that is likely to worsen going forward. We are definitely going to need some big systems, rain or snow, at some point before the summer or we are going to be in a bad situation given the dry antecedent conditions
  16. It’s really defied the theory the Arctic needs time to “reload” after a big cold snap. It’s just been cold shot after cold shot since Christmas. Impressive stuff given what was unanimously forecast to be a torch. Sadly it’s been dry but it is the first time since 2017/18 we in Raleigh have had two events in one winter season. Still looking for that big snow but Tuesday nights event was awesome
  17. We did not keep the clouds. Only made it to 36.1 which was surprising given lack of CAA or meaningful snow cover. Now down to 31.
  18. Knowing no other context one would be tempted to say “incoming” if they saw this posted
  19. Without blocking any storm especially a miller B is going to be timing critical for wintry weather. The HP is going to be transient. For this to work we need the energy out west to eject cleanly to align with the high. We’ve struggled to get our SW to work out this year so that’s a huge concern. Given the wedge look and timing on the backside of the cold push this pattern favors ice but getting the system in quicker and timed with that high is the only way to get any snow from this. I fear we’re tracking an ice storm and don’t see a way around that on the winter weather side of things
  20. Holy sh*t that’s a monster wedge on the 31st on 12z GFS. 1045 sitting in central PA. Storm is hung up (weird evolution) but that is a STRONG wedge as shown
  21. I think the FV3 handled this event the best
  22. Florida and Louisiana currently have a deeper snowpack than most of the midwest including the dakotas and southern Canada. I don’t know how many times I’ll be able to say that in my life https://www.weather.gov/nerfc/snow
  23. If we keep this thick cloud cover I highly doubt we make it to the upper 30’s, or even above freezing. It’s currently 18 with thick clouds. Will be interesting to see how temps play out the rest of the day
  24. Farm in Franklin county got down to 7.9!
  25. Low of 14 this morning! Coldest of the year and coldest since Jan 2022
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