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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. It’s been a fairly successful prediction last 6 years
  2. Looks to me like our stretch of Fail Februarys will continue
  3. 22.1 for the low this morning, almost feels normal now
  4. Post Tropical Cyclone report from Beryl is out. Winds up to 80 kts in Texas (up from 70) and way down to 80 kts (from 95 operationally) in the Yucatán. Somewhat surprisingly they decreased winds to 120 kts at its landfall in Carriacou. Peak was 145 kts so still cat 5
  5. I remember waking up to the sound of trees cracking and transformers blowing. That (5 days) and hurricane Fran (8 days) were the longest we were ever without power
  6. This is going under the radar but 74% of NC is in a moderate drought now and given the forecast that is likely to worsen going forward. We are definitely going to need some big systems, rain or snow, at some point before the summer or we are going to be in a bad situation given the dry antecedent conditions
  7. It’s really defied the theory the Arctic needs time to “reload” after a big cold snap. It’s just been cold shot after cold shot since Christmas. Impressive stuff given what was unanimously forecast to be a torch. Sadly it’s been dry but it is the first time since 2017/18 we in Raleigh have had two events in one winter season. Still looking for that big snow but Tuesday nights event was awesome
  8. We did not keep the clouds. Only made it to 36.1 which was surprising given lack of CAA or meaningful snow cover. Now down to 31.
  9. Knowing no other context one would be tempted to say “incoming” if they saw this posted
  10. Without blocking any storm especially a miller B is going to be timing critical for wintry weather. The HP is going to be transient. For this to work we need the energy out west to eject cleanly to align with the high. We’ve struggled to get our SW to work out this year so that’s a huge concern. Given the wedge look and timing on the backside of the cold push this pattern favors ice but getting the system in quicker and timed with that high is the only way to get any snow from this. I fear we’re tracking an ice storm and don’t see a way around that on the winter weather side of things
  11. Holy sh*t that’s a monster wedge on the 31st on 12z GFS. 1045 sitting in central PA. Storm is hung up (weird evolution) but that is a STRONG wedge as shown
  12. I think the FV3 handled this event the best
  13. Florida and Louisiana currently have a deeper snowpack than most of the midwest including the dakotas and southern Canada. I don’t know how many times I’ll be able to say that in my life https://www.weather.gov/nerfc/snow
  14. If we keep this thick cloud cover I highly doubt we make it to the upper 30’s, or even above freezing. It’s currently 18 with thick clouds. Will be interesting to see how temps play out the rest of the day
  15. Farm in Franklin county got down to 7.9!
  16. Low of 14 this morning! Coldest of the year and coldest since Jan 2022
  17. Already down to 19. Let’s see where we bottom out
  18. I will not get emotionally involved tracking a storm again. I will not get emotionally involved tracking a storm again. I will not get emotionally involved tracking a storm again…..
  19. Brick pulled in the last one from 13 days out. We’re in the short range now
  20. Almost wall to wall cold in January
  21. High of 29.3 after a low of 19.2. Despite being well below freezing all day the sun vaporized the snow in exposed areas. High of 28.4 yesterday. Impressive cold
  22. Once in a lifetime event for the furthest southern posters and snow for pretty much the whole forum. Sledding with my 3 yo. Absolutely gorgeous out. Wish we’d gotten more but after losing the storm then being saved by the NW trend in the last 24 hours it feels like a huge win. Deep winter feel. 22 degrees full sun and solid snow pack
  23. 1.25” storm total. Congrats to those getting dumped on. I’m happy, was able to shovel my driveway and my kids will get to enjoy a real snow day tomorrow. Now let’s Chase a big dog.
  24. Hoping you stay frozen and not freezing. Winding down here now. I’ll get final measurement after it stops. Definitely piled up some since I last measured. Good event here given cold temps and drama over last 3 days. Kids will enjoy it tomorrow
  25. Weenies: shovel your snow piles high and make sure theyre in the shade
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