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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. 925s are 0 to -1 along and west of US 1 during the peak of the precip on ICON. Folks thats not freezing rain. That’s a sleet bomb
  2. I worry the 1”+ freezing rain will show up over my house on that run
  3. Mixing aside, ICON is a HELL of a winter storm for NC
  4. I think the triangle area is at its highest risk of a devastating ice storm since December 2002
  5. GEFS was much more suppressed/wintry in the Carolina’s, FYI.
  6. It was colder at the surface. Ice all the way to the coast. I’d have to think there was a lot of sleet showing as freezing rain.
  7. It’s a late bloomer but it’s better than 12z I guess. Definitely more amped along the coast
  8. GFS looks unchanged at H5. Likely to be warm again
  9. It’s hard to take it seriously here. It moved the low from cape fear to Mexico beach in one run
  10. And every year. It is a totally different solution than 12z. Wouldn’t live or die by what it says but having it look more like other models today isn’t a bad thing
  11. It looked to be phasing as the run ended. Very close. I’m not so sure it wasn’t about to go apeshit in a couple frames
  12. ICON was a mixed bag for central NC but much better than 12z. Looked like it was getting its act together at the end of the run
  13. Icon looks like it’s starting a little colder
  14. A 1” mean with a coastal is insane at day 5
  15. My .02 is that given model agreement for days now on a significant storm of some type for the area (and likely a high impact one for areas that get below freezing), and we’re only 5 days out, this probably deserves a thread since it’s hijacked any chance of discussion about the upcoming pattern, which honestly looks like we might get another chance before March.
  16. Monster storm up the coast. This would be a blockbuster storm for the east coast as a whole
  17. Euro is over 24 hours straight of nonstop freezing rain and temps in the 20s for here… that would be catastrophic being our trees haven’t been tested by ice in 20 years
  18. I’m in a win win. If it snows in Raleigh it’ll be great, but since I’m going skiing in Virginia on Thursday afternoon, at a minimum we’ll have great conditions and likely some snow to play in around the house with the kids
  19. It insists on a central/eastern NC snowstorm. On an island but it has been consistent lol
  20. The rollercoaster continues. Tracking in the SE is not for the weak
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