NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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Yep, this.
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Currently 33.4. Got down to 31.6 last night but I see no remaining glaze. Bring on spring, three days of mid 30’s and rain while the gulf coast is under winter storm warnings is enough to break even the hardiest of weather weenies
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Icy but not on roads. Confined to trees mostly
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The Raleigh special: 33 and light rain
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Winter weather advisory from triangle north and west. Sounds like they’re expecting highs to remain below freezing today and stay that way through a good portion of tomorrow for Va border counties.
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18z GFS for 12z Tuesday
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Most insane temp gradient I’ve seen in N.C. Mid 20’s at Kerr lake and 60’s wake county
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18z gfs keeps Tuesday in play. Watch the NAM when it gets in range. It’s close
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18z gfs is, uh, just a little south
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Heavy thunder claps in north hills at home. Downpour. Got my rain gauge working just in time for the flood
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Guilty
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GFS run has cancelled winter. Some might see some light ice over next couple days but we go into a spring pattern beyond that. Once what’s left of this artic air in the MW gets ejected it looks very spring like here later on.
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Coldest arctic air in YEARS in the lower 48, active southern jet, near constant systems/impulses, below average temps most of winter, and we rain.
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06z GFS considerably colder than 00z with the Tuesday system. Has HP slightly stronger and further south and maintains a wedge look through the system. Verbatim freezing line stays on va border instead of shooting north in other runs
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Pennsylvania
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If anyone fails to understand the frustration on the board, the current gfs has Memphis at -4 and Raleigh at 60 Tuesday morning
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This gfs run doesn’t get Raleigh below freezing through the next 7 days
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Yea, that HP has trended weaker from the mid 1040’s from a couple days ago. Also, the arctic air orientation continues to bury it due south into the southern plains, so any high to the north of us is working with table scraps to send our way. I’m sure the CAD is underdone but the setup is fading for us to stand a chance against these more amped solutions. I think the slp track on this run was more reasonable than the euro but, yea, we don’t have much to work with on the cold air front
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This GFS run is not going to be what we wanted. Everything’s evolving further west
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@ILMRoss awesome post! Thanks for the insight!
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GFS coming in warmer, more amped. Sigh
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I was just hoping for some interesting weather we don’t get frequently. People here hate on ice storms but I haven’t seen one in twenty years so it’s definitely a unique and rare event. Feels like it might be another 20 years at this rate...
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Fat lady has stepped on the stage and is warming up her vocals
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Forecasting in areas that aren’t sandwiched between mountains on one side and the ocean on the other must be nice...
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People love getting their power knocked out by storms and hurricanes yet don’t want it knocked out by an ice storm...
