mattie g
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Everything posted by mattie g
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But just because the forcing has set up in a certain place right now doesn't necessarily mean it will remain in the same place for the next five months...or does it?
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Looks like the Farmer's Almanac is all in on a -NAO. That's a good place to start. I'll take any good news I can get.
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Been pissing down pretty good for the last couple hours here in Burke.
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2016-2017 was shite down here. Get that talk outta this sub!
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Pretty sure that, in years past, I've often gone with RIC hitting freezing at around the same time as, or earlier than, BWI. Didn't this time, so I hope they miss!
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I've been getting AARP mail for the last 15-20 years. When I finally hit that age I won't be fazed one bit.
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Exactly what I was going to say. Give me the fattest mother of all f*cking torches from November 1-December 15 and then have the pattern flip. If that means six weeks of that flipped pattern with it again going warm to end the winter, then that's 100% fine with me. The funny thing about that Twatter re-post is that the PNA is rebounding back towards positive territory by the end of October. I honestly hope it remains negative for weeks...
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Damn...I honestly thought I had entered 10/19 for BWI and IAD. lol
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Basically this. And this.
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Went to Mackintosh Farms out in Berryville to pick apples on Sunday with the kids and some friends. First time I've ever been there, and it was an awesome day to make that drive. On the way back, I missed a turn in Berryville itself and ended up taking Blue Ridge Mountain Road to get to Rt 50. Didn't realize that it ran along Mt. Weather! It was neat to see the temp difference at the top of that ridge - was 54F at the top and 64F at the bottom. The apples are unreal, by the way!
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Been in Burke for 13 years now, and I don't remember not mowing well into November. I mean...I like to mow to pick up leaves, but I definitely need one last mow to get ready for winter sometime around the end of the November.
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Lots of blue sky with sun now in Burke. Pretty awesome after the last five days!
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Interesting. If...IF that were to go down like that, then that would imply the potential for some interesting weather around the holidays. Pair that with the cold that some folks are calling for in December into January, and that might be fun.
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Thanks! They're slowly getting there, but man this has sucked! I don't quite recall October 2009, but I'll just assume we're headed into another winter like the one that followed that month.
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This has been a truly odd past five days of weather. I don't recall anything quite so long in duration with such chilly temps. The killer is that our girls have had a stomach bug since Sunday, so no one is particularly happy about being stuck at home right now!
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100% agreed. Plenty of talk of a quite warm November on the Mid-Atlantic, which, assuming the source region in Canada doesn't torch, could be a good thing in setting up a possible colder period into December-January, as you said. In my opinion, November is a great torch month. It can be plenty warm enough for t-shirts and really pleasant days, but it won't get hot, and those warm days are almost always dry. Any cold days are just wasted, so better it be mild!
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That’s pretty GD chilly.
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My parents live just inland near Atlantic City - they've had over 5" of rain since Saturday with potentially upwards of 3" more expected. Add that to the easterly winds and that's a lot of water having a really hard time getting out of the back bays up there.
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Or until @MN Transplant posts a screen grab of the correlation coefficient.
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Confirmed. Where in Burke?
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BWI: 10/25 IAD: 10/25 DCA: 11/20 RIC: 11/18 DCA peak Oct temp: 83
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I would say MBY is "just changing" now. I think we usually peak around Nov 10 or so.
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November is a perfect month for a torch.
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That area is definitely in the highest surge area now. Hopefully with enough forward motion the water won't pile up too high. In-laws in Hilton Head got some decent winds and rain, but no surge there with the winds off the mainland. Probably some flooding in the creeks with NW-facing mouths, but likely not a huge deal.
