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mattie g

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Everything posted by mattie g

  1. These kinds of posts annoy me...like really annoy me. They make it seems like it's not possible to have an all-snow event in the cities.
  2. Holy hell...supposed to be driving home from Deep Creek next Sunday.
  3. I ride the line for a few hours even in my neck of the woods just west of the DC Beltway. Soundings and temp maps make it look OK, but I won't confident of that unless other guidance agrees.
  4. Yup...this is what I was getting at just above. Even just slightly west of the Beltway is a *touch* better.
  5. Looking at soundings and the 700/850 temp maps, the margins are SUPER close. Both look OK for DC, but again...really fine margins.
  6. I'll be deep in it for three nights when we head to Wisp next week, so I'm going to *try* to go easy this weekend. Unfortunately, more sleet = more drinks, so it's not looking good for my liver right now.
  7. I'm drying out (not completely dry) after a looooooong Holiday period, so no drinks during the week for me.
  8. Seems like no matter what changes for the better at 500, there's another change somewhere that offsets it.
  9. Mentally preparing for H5 maps that look good for us but end up flipping us to sleet on Sunday morning, followed by day-long snizzle.
  10. I swear to God...if MN posts radar screengrabs of the correlation coefficient while this storm is going on, I'm going to find his house and egg it, then I'm going to pelt it with iceballs.
  11. You might be. You at least have a place where you can go to experience winter weather during any of the colder months.
  12. I'm starting to run out of steam for this one. The changes over the last 48 hours have been almost too much, and even with this massive high and super cold we're still looking to take one squarely on the chin with sleet/freezing rain. Too many headfakes, too. I'm just worn out. Hoping against hope that the new flight data somehow helps us, but at this point I don't think I should be holding my breath.
  13. I don't expect the site to go down or anything, but just in case it does, I created a subreddit (r/mid_atlantic_weather) a couple years ago for spillover in case we need a place to chat. It's not a replacement for this forum, and it doesn't even have any posts in it . It's just an emergency landing place in case we need it!
  14. Hope you guys can get more folks together! I have dance dad duty on Thursdays or else I'd try to make it...
  15. There are some really dumb people posting in the main thread. I'm dumb, but I'm not posting there much.
  16. Much prefer this kind of solution where we worry less about taint. It's nice to have even the GFS losing the more wound up solution in the face of what some other guidance has pumped out this afternoon. Might it be out to lunch? Sure, but it's at least showing that the possibility is there of things relaxing just a bit and we end up with cold smoke.
  17. Fairfax County schools are closed next Thursday and Friday for end of quarter/teacher workday, and some elementary schools (including my daughter's) are on early release on Wednesday, so we're preparing for them to be out all week. While Wisp is going to be cold AF late next week, it'll be kind of nice driving there with wintry scenes the whole way!
  18. Me after running a trend gif of the 12z NAM at 84 and the 18z NAM at 78...
  19. Maybe I can start the next storm's thread and name it that. I'd just need to recall this discussion when it happens in 2031...
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