mattie g

(I was actually kidding, but thanks anyways)

When are we getting recon data for the shortwave in the Pacific? Once that’s ingested into the modeling dataset, it’s going to make alllll the difference…

I love that we just finished a storm yesterday and the next opportunity is close enough that we’ve got NAM analysis on it.

I feel like it took a couple good steps, so I'm not hating it. A little disappointed is all.

The ridge out west is much better at 126. Vort is closed and digging farther south.

11/30: Mix of sleet and light rain for a couple hours before switching to light cold rain. 12/2: Mix early in the morning before flipping to hard, cold rain. 12/5: 2.25”. 2” in the man event and 0.25” later that evening/overnight. 12/13: 1.25” 1/17-18: T - An hour or so of sleet/flurries on the 17th and very light snow on the 18th 1/25: 9.25" - 5" of snow overnight followed by all-day pounding sleet Running Total: 12.75”

I'm honestly not sure if I want the GFS in the "good" camp at this point. It's interesting to look at, but unless it's part of an overall consensus in hitting us, I'd rather it be south/east right now.

My neighborhood was plowed 3-4 times, but my cul-de-sac was last done at about 2:00 pm. Went out with the dog a little bit ago and my street was a solid pack of 1.5-2” of sleet. The secondary roads were supposedly worked over pretty good, but as of about 4:00 pm the one nearest me was still in pretty bad shape.

I think if we score a decent event (6-10", if not more) at the back end of this cold spell and then we hit a couple more small/moderate events later on, then it will go down as one of the more memorable winters around here. Not 09-10, 02-03, 95-96 type winters, but definitely among ones we can recall pretty easily in the future.

I was so prepared for the potential of power going out with this storm. I ran the generator yesterday (after draining the carburetor and cleaning it out), gassed it up with plenty of extra gas at the ready, and had it all staged and ready to go. I had all batteries and wireless chargers charged up, plans in place for keeping as warm as possible for a few days, etc. In the grand scheme of things, I'm really glad I didn't need to put any of that plan into action, but it *is* a little bit of a bummer that I couldn't at least have seen some of that that hard prep work put to good use!

Gotta say...that seems kind of low for the amount of liquid equivalent since folks around us started off with 5" or so of snow (depending on where you are).

Biggest QPF producer since...no idea! And it happened when one of the coldest airmasses in recent memory decided to make itself known. We lucked out big time!

Thanks. Funny enough, I just measured 7" of thick, compacted goodness (my 6.5" was a guesstimate). Wild.

Question: If I measured 5" of snow before the flip, then measured 4.5" of sleet, that's a total of 9.5" even if I only measure 6.5" after the precip ends, right?

Who is Uccenelli?

That last image is the eyebrow-raising one. A really nice cluster of lows off the Delmarva and a tight gradient. I'll take it.

B...b...b...but I thought the Euro never makes big changes from one run to the next! Been sitting here the last 3-4 runs wondering if what the GFS was smoking 24-36 hours ago would be on sale again. Looks like maybe it is.

We only got about 5" of snow (maybe slightly less) in the early thump, but we've had to have gotten like 1.5" of QPF as sleet. It's just been relentless.

Currently 23, which is the high here in Burke for the day. Still sleeting. i haven’t made a serious measurement, to be honest, but sleet has been ongoing for 10 hours now and we have probably had 4” of sleet in that time (compaction doesn’t help, of course). A good way to determine the impact is the piles I just shoveled…they rival any of the piles I’ve made outside of our biggest storms since 2009. Really Impressive.

I walked outside like 10 minutes ago and there f’ing CHUNKS of sleet coming with diminished visibility. I’m guessing that there are small flakes/needles in there, which is bringing the viz down and helping with accumulation just a bit.

Dude…it’s sleeting so hard that you can’t even tell if there’s snow mixed in.

I’m honestly not sure how much sleet I’ve gotten here in Burke, but it has to be over 1” at this point. It’s been sleet since like 7:30. 17° and f*cking pounding sleet for hours

It’s sleeting.

Maestro wants in on some of that. It's cold. 18F in Burke.

Eisfest -> ski trip -> coastal I’d take that and not care a damn about what happens the rest of the season.