mattie g

It's probably because the HRRR and NAM are awful for tis stuff and you know better.

Right? I'm calling it now...mid-month triple phaser.

That's what my previous project did, but now there's talk of in-office with the option for remote flexibility when needed. This, despite my team proving to be more productive since we went remote. Same old story pretty much everywhere, but we gotta prop up the commercial real estate moguls!

Same for Fairfax County...

Sounds about the same as me!

I'm on a government contract, but as I had mentioned our contract specifically states that we work from "contractor site." The government can't say that "contractor site" means an actual office, nor can it track whether people are in an office even if they wanted to. My company has no desire to spend the money on more office space, though we do have offices around the country now, but not nearly enough to support all of the employees.

That's awesome - being able to go into the office on your own schedule is huge! It's such a life changer. I get that there are plenty of people who like being in an office, but I'm not one of them!

It's funny to see how many folks from PA keep commenting on the "north trend" for the Sunday/Monday event. We get it...you want it to snow more in your neck of the woods, but saying it isn't going to make it happen.

Went mostly remote during COVID (all in-office before that), then the announcement came in the beginning of this year to be in the office three days per week. Luckily, at the same time my company needed someone with my specific skills to run another program whose team has been fully distributed (per the contract) since before COVID. Been a nice move for many reasons, and working from home is definitely up there (especially because the old project may be back in the office full time soon)!

As for the Ignore function, I really wish this software allowed you to ignore quoted posts!

Re: 234...Slow the southern vort down a little bit and the northern one could drop in behind it. That pulls things a bit north and it all phases with that lobe dropping in from the northeast. Simple, right?

I'll always remember zwyts/Deck Pic saying years ago something about how we often end well around here as the upper energy swings through. I even notice similar during events in the warmer months. Those are always nice snows because they do like you say - they freshen things up with a small layer of fluff.

But that comparison could also be the result of timing differences (storm moving faster/slower) between runs. It's all splitting hairs anyways. For most of us, things haven't really changed, though I appreciate that some (me included) are teetering on the edge of either missing out on big totals or missing out entirely.

It's cold through the whole column, as well...so cold that DC doesn't even flirt with mixing. I can't help but feel that cold is a little overdone, but the proverbial wiggle room is there.

After the Euro at 00z and 06z, I assume no one is saying that the trend is obvious now, as we read in so many places after 18z yesterday (and that "obvious trend" was anything but). Let's be honest...the goalposts haven't really shifted much at all in the last couple days if you look at guidance overall. We all know that, at gametime, someone will be disappointed because they'll be just out of the max snow and someone will be thrilled because they'll get smacked when they didn't expect it. Based on history, we can assume the folks further north will be in the latter group, but there's no guarantee of that...and just because we see one run bump either way doesn't mean anything in regards to the final outcome until after the snow stops. I think the most interesting part of this is the expected staying power of the snowpack. It's been quite a while since we've had snow that sticks around for a decent period of time, so it'll be pretty cool to experience that again (though I'm sure I'll be sick of it in a week).

Canadian says we CAD. Hard.

This storm sucks

Euro has been amazingly consistent in giving DC and south a decent smack down. I’d be surprised if it verified with that much snow, but I’m feeling pretty good about the precip max stripe.

F mitch’s Ukie. I’m in on the Euro.

I hope for us that it’s a brutal miss on your part, but that you enjoy the vacation!

I’ve got literally zero skin in this game and really couldn’t care less about whether there’s some sort of conspiracy going on with model output. I’m just tired of your regular interjections into discussion threads that say the same thing - “show all possibilities and claim victory afterwards.” Like…who really cares?

Can you PLEASE stop with this?

I was just typing this up. Really diggy with the ridge out west beefing up.

So…you’re saying there’s another blizzard after this one? I’m in!