crossbowftw3

GFS only one that really has any snow for us now and even that is only 1-3" with 4-6" confined north of 90, seeing as how we probably make it to 60 across the area, I would take low

Can only hope for 1-2" of slop here on the eastern border of NY/PA but I'll take it to top off our totals.

Still looks good for us downstate folks to get what might just be our last 1-2” of slop Wednesday night...unless things dry out too quickly for the snow to make it here.

Starting to look like we might get out last inch or two of slop Wednesday night-Thursday, while further upstate could probably see 3-6”

Probably won’t come even close but certainly can count on some snow inland

At this juncture I figure folks like @sferic and I look to probably be a bit too far away to see anything meaningful outside of perhaps a few sloppy inches

Today's model runs correcting back to a much more feasible scenario for late week

Can I file a motion to make Fake Spring a new Season? Because the instances of false starts have been growing increasingly common nowadays.

may i raise the notion of fake spring being an official season? because we sure have been dealing with that a lot lately

Meanwhile in Sullivan temperatures are doing the opposite, down to 67 from a high of 74.,

It's quite possible for some kind of snow to happen here on April Fool's and the following day. Widespread event as the models today have them? Probably not

1977 notable for the freak blizzard that hammered interior sections as well

As things look now we may see one last snap of cold end of next week. After that it's anyone's guess

end of next week may offer one last cold snap that lasts 2-3 days or so and dare i say it....it may come with some snow. Doubt anything widespread as today's runs of GFS are showing but the potential does exist

Advisories populating for us downstate folks Northern Oneida-Chemung-Tompkins-Southern Oneida-Cortland- Chenango-Tioga-Broome-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna- Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- Including the cities of Boonville, Elmira, Ithaca, Rome, Utica, Cortland, Norwich, Owego, Waverly, Binghamton, Monticello, Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose, Damascus, Equinunk, Tunkhannock, Scranton, Hazleton, Wilkes-Barre, Milford, and Honesdale 335 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Bradford, Susquehanna, Northern Wayne, Wyoming, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Pike and Southern Wayne counties. In New York, Northern Oneida, Chemung, Tompkins, Southern Oneida, Cortland, Chenango, Tioga, Broome and Sullivan counties. * WHEN...From 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven- Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic- Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange- Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk- Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens- Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 342 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of northeastern New Jersey, southern Connecticut and southeastern New York. * WHEN...From 2 PM Friday to midnight EDT Friday night. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Some max gusts to 60 or so are probable and if any HWWs get hoisted it comes down to where best mixing is

Unsurprisingly advisories have just been populated areawide.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html check out this wording. An intense outbreak probably set to occur today across the south

Good news here is that the winds probably don’t last more than six hours at maximum in any given location advisories more probable for the NYC area with HWWs in the typical favored locations near the lakes I would say

Wouldn’t be surprised to see a marginal get hoisted for if any convection can be along the front as well, should easily mix winds down

Even if there’s a bunch of junk in the warm sector if one or two supercells can feed off the high parameter space they’ll go off and drop the storms of the day I feel like

if nothing else next week looks great for ski country good for anyone who wants to do some late season skiing

We'll see what happens next week, here's hoping for a last gasp storm but I'm equally ready to move on

Can't give a vote of confidence yet for snow but if it comes together it should certainly be our last shot at anything appreciable for the winter. Will be fun to watch.

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