crossbowftw3
-
Posts
1,394 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by crossbowftw3
-
People on main thread arguing over 300 hour models…save me. there’s a reason you wait for 120 hours. In any case we’re almost certainly not done with winter yet; recent years have seen cold stretches get as deep into spring as early May. A nice moderate snowstorm to cap it all off would be lovely. Something like April 2018 with 5-6” that evaporated by early afternoon.
-
59/50. All of the snow is effectively gone. I would hedge my bets on one more decent storm before all breaks. If not, I finish right at the 45-50” mark for the season.
-
Up to 2-3’ of new snows meeting a warmup and rains is never good…
-
Staggering—parts of RI/MA collecting nearly 3’ out of this one.
-
Looks like widespread 2-3 across Sullivan should do it. More stunning is the fact that the roads looked like nothing happened whatsoever the whole way into work this morning.
-
2-3”, if that. More glad not much wind to speak of + have power right now
-
Definitely starting to see the breeze picking up slightly. No longer sure what to expect in western Sullivan, but 6” would still be decent. More glad that these trends mean I avoid the heavier amounts with the wind. I like having power.
-
Latest point/click downgrades my totals but upgraded to blizzard warning. 4-6 to 12-18 in 30-40 miles?
-
12z HRRR. This is gonna be close for me for sure now
-
Of course I don’t realize became would autocorrect to because
-
Not for nothing but well before performing arts because the norm for this type Anderson Cooper nearly got decapitated during Dennis.
-
3/14/17 was NYC’s last blizzard warning, and also when I saw 27” in 15 hours including 8” in about 90 minutes late that morning. I believe it was 60 about 2 days before.
-
If these bands are truly that dynamic, I wonder if we’ll hear a similar report to what I experienced on 3/14/17 with getting 8” inches in about 90 minutes between 9:30-11 AM that day
-
Warning hoisted for 6-14”; would anticipate lower end of those amounts for MBY. City east looks very good at this time. I expect a 2’-30” reading somewhere between Tom’s River and Eastern LI
-
12z gfs, that cutoff zone is inching closer to me
-
Another wild NAM run, starting to look more and more like January 2016 but I get involved on this one. 6-12 seems most plausible for me at this time with the totals skyrocketing further SE from me. My sister and BIL in Westchester may get just as smoked as NYC does.
-
Playing a rather dangerous game where I’m at in western Sullivan, either skunked or a slam dunk, only one way to know.
-
One thing is for sure: the NAM is clearly cooking up another all timer run.
-
Wild swings on these runs. If I end up with a 6-8” caliber accumulation from this and widespread 1-2’+ starts just 50-60 miles southeast again as it was in January 2016, I’d be rather disappointed
-
Between 1-2”. Enough to re-whiten the ground
-
Looks like I may be on the fringes of this one—a nice advisory event(low end warning?) should still in play for me in Sullivan
-
Brutal stuff. Coldest wind chills I’ve seen since the winters of 2013-15.
-
I’d count on city east for this one, and considering where I’m at and what amount of shoveling I just had to do, you guys can have this one.
-
Early feeling is that this weekend will probably end up one of those “city east” specials we see once a winter. After the hell of trying to shovel out what happened Sunday, would like a small break, then get on with the rest of winter.
-
You would be correct
