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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    I tend to just use them to get an idea of where the "best" activity might be - and also to look for consistency. Other than that I don't really think they have much use. I've seen days where they look crazy and we get nothing as well as days where just a little green shows up and we get multiple TORs
  2. Kmlwx
    10z run of UD helicity swath map
  3. Kmlwx
    The stupid UD helicity swath map
  4. Kmlwx
    Example from the 11z run - using the COD site - https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/
  5. Kmlwx
    Consistency at least - of course it could be consistently wrong... But 11z HRRR has almost the same thing.
  6. Kmlwx
    10z HRRR sends a legit looking supercell over Central Maryland this PM
  7. Kmlwx
    Are we looking at the same NAM? I don't see much of anything to get excited about on the NAM (18z OR 00z)
  8. Kmlwx
    Tomorrow's threat appears to now be focused NW of the area by the longer range HRRR and the 3km NAM
  9. Kmlwx
    Long range 12z HRRR (lol) has a streak of very nice UD helicity across the area tomorrow PM. Both today and tomorrow look good on simradar
  10. Kmlwx
    Days and days and days of MRGL
  11. Kmlwx
    To be honest- hearing my friends (non weather enthusiasts) and coworkers - most people still do not understand which is worse (watch vs warning). A lot of this is ignorance - watches don't trigger CMAS so it should be fairly obvious to the public that "TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY" is more serious than "CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE"
  12. Kmlwx
    The latest (11z) HRRR has essentially nothing
  13. Kmlwx
    I'm right around 270 and Montrose - evil looking clouds but no tornado of course. Then heavy rain.
  14. Kmlwx
    And he's back
  15. Kmlwx
    You seem awfully bullish. Who are you?
  16. Kmlwx
    That frontal analysis on the meso discussion map indicates warmfront nearby. That will definitely enhance tornado risk.
  17. Kmlwx
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0451.html
  18. Kmlwx
    Temps vaulting to 70+ in areas under the sunshine.
  19. Kmlwx
    Empire State Building sized hail right now in Potomac.
  20. Kmlwx
    Sounds like Sterling may do a 16z balloon launch per the 13z SPC outlook text.
  21. Kmlwx
    SIGTOR!
  22. Kmlwx
    I mean LR really only goes out to 16 days and even that can be wildly inaccurate. We still have all of May for something to pop up. Some of our events don't present themselves until they are inside of 5-7 days. Plenty of time left - I'd say it's been a fairly active April compared to some other years - even if last night was relatively tame.
  23. Kmlwx
    Last Sunday was significantly more exciting (even though I slept through it). The season is still pretty young. Check back in May - and June.
  24. Kmlwx
    Weak couplet went right over my parent's house in Colesville. Nothing heard/seen. County police 4D air indicated maybe something was on ground but nothing heard after that.
  25. Kmlwx
    Moderate for DC or I'm not interested
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