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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Nice radar presentation. Echo tops aren't that high
  2. Latest HRRR has initiation around the metros around 18z.
  3. 12z HRRR also looks good. I'm in so far for today. Pending meltdown runs that take it all away, of course
  4. 11z HRRR is really nice for a lot of us. I'd take that in a heartbeat. @nw baltimore wx - hope you're staying cool! Power outages are no fun. My family was without power for something like 6.5 days after the blizzards in 2010 and like 5 or so after the derecho.
  5. NAM nest sucks except for a lone supercell-type storm that goes right over DC. Distinct possibility some of us blank on all 3 days...
  6. That might end up being one of the sole severe reports in this CWA.
  7. Line bowing out in SCentral PA might get into NE Maryland.
  8. Weird warning polygon on that cell. Wonder if it's an error.
  9. Hail marker showing up in Frederick County on the developing cell. Maybe it can be a cap breaker. ETA: Annnnnnd it's gone
  10. I'm starting to lean towards the bust side of things.
  11. I'm starting to hope for the weenie stuff - outflow triggering stuff for us, cold pool establishing etc
  12. I just hope we don't end up going 0 for 3. Be nice to track a nice storm rolling through the area even if not my own BY.
  13. This is a big factor for sure. Extended tracking always makes busts more painful. Imagine having a D8 severe outlook go poof once it hits day 1
  14. Most recent HRRR runs are pretty pitiful for some of us.
  15. Thus far the models with the intense activity remaining in PA have been correct. Still early, though. That DC split is looking MIGHTY so far
  16. The other nice thing is the severe weenies tend to not have a meltdown when storms don't work out. We move on after complaining a little bit. Not speaking for everyone - but there's a lot more of a "what happens happens" mentality with severe.
  17. The only difference is we tend to not crash the forum during severe season
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