Jump to content

ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    90,902

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    KORH 091238Z 28016G25KT 1/2SM R11/4000V5000FT SN FZFG VV012 M01/M03 A2953 RMK AO2 PK WND 28027/1211 P0000 T10061028
  2. ORH_wxman
    Ripping fatties in this band
  3. ORH_wxman
    Too bad this CCB couldn’t wrap up like we saw on some runs a couple days ago. Legit cold to tap.
  4. ORH_wxman
    Snowing here. Nice. Lol
  5. ORH_wxman
    BGM down to 29F and -SN
  6. ORH_wxman
    No. It’s possible but I’d forecast probably just flakes at the end. Maybe coating to half inch. I could see it more likely up in ORH county around WaWa and NW to NH border. I wish the rates were better.
  7. ORH_wxman
    Prob 1200-1500ish...I’m assuming you are going for something greater than 1”....you want best elevation/QPF combo which is likely high terrain monadnocks into Mitch-land in S VT. Places like Florida and Savoy could be sneaky good too in the N Berks crest. Otherwise you know kanc at 2500+ is gonna be good up in the whites. Anything that falls will stick there almost off the bat.
  8. ORH_wxman
    Cranky says this happens every year.
  9. ORH_wxman
    Typical annual return frequency.
  10. ORH_wxman
    Yeah that narrow valley there just SW of the circled area must rip during big CAA wind events.
  11. ORH_wxman
    Yeah the terrain there looks ideal...it's got that "crescent" shape to funnel the air right in and up.....
  12. ORH_wxman
    That area is such a weenie spot....too bad we don't have consistent obs up there. They must get destroyed with upslope too that goes unrecorded (also terrible radar coverage there).
  13. ORH_wxman
  14. ORH_wxman
    Had a pair of pileated woodpeckers yesterday out back in the woods. Unfortunately all I could get is a couple blurry Ginxy cell phone pics of one of them....still pretty cool though. Love those birds.
  15. ORH_wxman
    You have a decent chance to see some flakes after 10pm tonight. Then you may have another chance with snow showers tomorrow.
  16. ORH_wxman
    Well if you actually bought it...maybe. I wasn't buying it until we were inside 48 hours....which we never really got. I figured maybe some light accums were possible...like coating to an inch. Still could happen in higher terrain in SNE. But anything meaningful doesn't look very plausible outside of the higher terrain of CNE/NNE.
  17. ORH_wxman
    This has turned into weak sauce. Don't think there will be much accumulation for anyone below 1500' or 2k.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Euro caved. Writing was on the wall though when other guidance was trending SE. Still could see a burst though across parts of SNE.
  19. ORH_wxman
    Nah it was long over by then. I’m not sure what event Dr Dews was thinking of but maybe 4/25/02. There were some snow late evening but it was after 10pm I think.
  20. ORH_wxman
    Just go all-in on the GFS....ok, it wouldn't be 6"+ there, but it could be 4".
  21. ORH_wxman
    It was during the morning that it snowed.
  22. ORH_wxman
    It all depends on just how quickly the CCB pops....even in an event like May 18, 2002, it didn't snow very long. The rates did pop big time though for a couple hours...and that's key. It was going at like 0.20" per hour in the bucket and that dynamically cools the BL pretty quickly. 0.08 per hour type stuff isn't gonna get it done for accumulation.
  23. ORH_wxman
    The risk is definitely taking too long to develop the good conveyor.
  24. ORH_wxman
    Another tick SE...gets you into accumulating snow now. Just gotta keep up the act another couple runs and you'll get your 2-4"
  25. ORH_wxman
    GGEM caved....way SE now. It's pretty weak too....nothing like the GFS.
×
×
  • Create New...