ORH_wxman

Sunday looks iffy too. That would suck ass if we had to sacrifice a couple days on the weekend. Hopefully at least Sunday is ok.

He's going to win the temp contest unless the winds on Wednesday stay stronger out of the east than forecast....though not for the reasons in our original discussion. He had thought we'd remain progressive and clear out on west flow by Thursday while I suspected the cutoff was going to take it's time and keep us under east flow.....the reality is that this got shoved so far south that we get sunshine to the north of the crap. I'm happy to lose that contest though...I'd take 64F and sunny on northeast flow over the alternative any day.

It’s probably one or the other though. If it rots south for 3 days, it’s gotta move northeast eventually. So it just delays the inevitable. I’m going to be the cynic in this one with all the east flow being shown, and be pleasantly surprised if it stays mostly nice.

Euro cancels Memorial Day weekend as payment for delaying the garbage to our south during the week.

This post wins the thread. No reason to submit any more entries.

Just had some really good winds though prob not severe. Maybe 40-50mph gusts.

I never claimed anything about how much rain on Wed/Thu. I told you what the Euro showed. We have our high temps drawn out. You’ll win if there is decent sun each day though you said 59 on Wednesday so you are largely going with a shit day there. If not, then I’m going to be closer.

Agreed but his forecast is for BDL/HFD whereas ours is for Tolland and when you are forecasting out at day 6, there’s no reason to go too crazy away from climo. Thursday definitely has the most uncertainty to it.

Yeah I said Wed/Thu aren’t as bad as Mon/Tue but Kevin was too optimistic. He better hope Euro is wrong because that is flat out trash through Thursday.

Euro is basically Atlantic diarrhea the entire week for SNE. Maybe we get lucky Friday

Yep, the trend back north on the Euro last night. I'm expecting the others to follow eventually....hopefully that's not the case. I'll be pleasantly surprised if it isn't.

2nd time this week. Was able to get a better pic this time.

Just had this guy going through the yard

The return frequency for dewpoints near 10F has to be pretty low in mid May.

Yeah Kevin will definitely win the temp contest if the ULL gets so far south that we're in sunshine on the cool side of the gradient. Not sure I buy it though.

56, 60 I actually think models show Thursday as worse than Wednesday right now because the low redevelops to the south and hits us with Atlantic rhea on Thursday...if that happens, then it's 48-50F on Thu....but I'll hedge a little in case we end up more progressive.

Optimistic for THU. You are at least on the dogshit train for Wednesday though....

What is your forecast for Wednesday and Thursday for Tolland? Give me a high temp each day.

Make sure you get those pics when the sun briefly breaks through the clouds and spikes the temps to 57F before dropping back to 52F.

He's been reduced to polishing 54F overcast turds. Like powderfreak said, he will start taking pics of a break of blue sky in between the hours and hours of low clouds.

Haha, Kevin thinks we only get 1-2 days of crap and then its back to early summer....

Yeah the 1950s wind data specifically looks pretty weird. Even 1960s to some extent. Just a WAG but I wonder if they high-balled wind data a little bit back in that era before jumbo jets...the commercial airplanes back then were definitely more susceptible to wind than the jumbos that started coming out circa late 1960s and 1970s. So from a safety standpoint, you could argue being more conservative and rounding up on the winds. It might be totally unrelated too but I often think about that stuff because the weather observers back then were really important to the airports before radar and other technology had come out.

It definitely looks like there is a step-down in the mid/late-1990s around when ASOS was installed. I wonder if that has anything to do with it. It doesn’t explain the drop between the 1950s to 1990s but those post-ASOS years are pretty low.

I made a joke post to Tip about the D7 GFS showing noodles or catpaws at the tail end of the cutoff. See it on previous page

Time play everyone's favorite game in spring.... Wheel!!!!!!! Oh!!!!!!!!!......... RHEAAAA!!!!!!!!