ORH_wxman

NAM gone wild N of the pike for late Thursday night/early Friday morning.

Yeah if the wind is really strong, then it will just shatter the dendrites as they fall and/or pack them pretty efficiently once on the ground so the ratios struggle. I may have had worse than 10 to 1....can't quite remember what the QPF was in that 14 inches but i imagine it was around 1.5" or so...maybe it was a little more. 8 to 1 wouldn't have surprised me. That pack was very durable.

Definite flash freeze potential. It takes some unique conditions to get a true flash freeze but this would have those conditions present as modeled right now.

3/14/17 was a solid event. Didn’t get the jackpot obviously (reserved for NNE and upstate NY) but that was crazy intense snow for about 5 hours. We picked up 14” here and most it fell in 5-6 hours. The sleet line barely made it here during the dryslot but it changed back to ugly snowflakes pretty quickly. Good QPF dump in that as the ratios were prob near 10 to 1. We had full snowpack until the end of the month that year and partial snowpack into the first week of April.

Gonna have to watch this sucker. If that ULL maintains integrity longer, it’s going to cause some bigger issues on Friday. It doesn’t take all that long for the cold air to get drawn in with that high pressing down. Also could enhance the fronto.

Thankfully, I think we have Kevin's PWS online now, right? So we can track his backyard where real people live.

I see mostly 30s and 40s this week. Maybe a low elevation 50+ spot on Thursday if lucky and clouds don't roll in early as Scooter said.

Euro suggests a pretty nice band near BOS back into N RI in the latter stages. Could be several inches if that panned out.

Yeah that changed quick

Black hills might be even better. Lead, SD FTW.

He cheers on torches that kill vulnerable people in the summer.

Yep. It’s also like in cutters he tries to turn them all into Grinch 2020 storms and melting snows to Quebec when 99% of them don’t do that. He knows he’s making it up but he just does it to get responses.

There were multiple big snow events after mid-month in 1977. Then of course there was the infamous May '77 storm too....but the 2nd half of March '77 was very snowy. Who lknows, maybe we'll follow a similar path.

Old record at ORH was 66F in 1977. Smoked that one pretty good. 3/11 was vulnerable for a lot of stations, so plenty of records today.

It's actually two storms on the GFS. Back to back.

3/16-17 making a comeback on guidance. Still gotta watch after that too near the equinox.

No, it will be more like Wilmington gets 10-14" of paste, ORH gets 17", and Methuen is outside the best rates and gets 4" of slime that slides off his windshield during the event.

Yeah prob about a week to perhaps 10 day window there.

Yeah some spots there have their snowiest months in March/April.

DSD today.

Yeah maybe...it depends where in the yard though....where I measure is down to like 2-3" but there are shaded spots that still have over half a foot. I think that 2-3" will go today. There are houses in the neighborhood that have 100% full pack in their shaded yard and it looks at least 6" deep, lol. Typical uneven March melt-out.

Looks like my snow depth is going to go to zero today finally...well maybe a "trace" since as long as you have patches in the yard, that's a trace. There has been continuous snow pack since January 26th, so a pretty good run. We had continuous from Dec 9th through January 12th in 2017-2018 so this beats that stretch. Have to go back to 2015 I think to beat this 43 day stretch. The previous 5 years have not been good pack winters. We had longer stretches than this in 2008-2009, 2010-2011, 2012-2013, 2013-2014, and 2014-2015.

This is the week after the 2013 firehose storm...there were a couple torchy 50F days afterward which receded the snowpack, but it's interesting because you can see that secondary jackpot area still SW of Boston

I was working in BOS on 3/7/13....took the train home. Accumulations were noticeable once past 128 in Wellesley, and by the time I got back to ORH, there was about 4-5". But nobody thought the 20"+ amounts were happening even that evening. I was still on the 9-14" bandwagon. The firehose just went insane after midnight it was like consistent 1-2" per hour for the next 8-10 hours.

Yeah if we could have snuck that 1/3 storm into the picture and had it be a solid warning snowfall, the entire tenure of the month would have changed. That pack would have stuck around for the next 3 weeks until 1/26 replenished it and then going off to the races in February.