ORH_wxman

BTV missed a 77 day streak by 2 days in the ‘70-71 winter a year later....lol. Look at those two streaks in the top 5 in the same winter. Only had 2 days in between the streaks.

Yep, phin’s area will CAD really well on those SWFEs that have damming up to like 850-900mb but if the CAD is mostly at the sfc or near-sfc and 850 winds are S or SSW then he can have trouble. It doesn’t really affect the snowfall too much though...the events where you need damming up to 800-850mb, he gets. We’ve had a dearth of those events though this year. Usually we’re good for at least 3-4 per winter. Esp in a Nina.

I mean, there’s definitely a chance that storm could hit...esp given the lead time of 7+ days....but there isn’t a big reason to be optimistic about it. Synoptically, it’s a tight squeeze to fit that storm into the pattern...eastern New England would have the best shot naturally but it is still a heavy lift even for them.

Sneaky torch day here. Up to 44F. This is our warmest dewpoint day. Even though we got almost an inch this morning the pack has taken additional hit.

It’s good weather for a 1980s throwback day.

Fascinating obs between Alex and Phin...Phin def got downsloped on today’s event.

It’s not a good pattern for lots of rapid-fire shortwaves and storms. The fact wavelengths are shortening some just means it’s a little easier to sneak something in within an ugly regime. The teleconnectors might be less influential than mid-winter in March, but they still matter. If we get a blocky Canada around mid-month and beyond, then things could get a little more interesting.

Looked nice this morning. Great snow growth even within the aggregates...lots of hooked dendrites. Had almost an inch but that compacted down to about a quarter inch in a matter of 45 minutes.

Seriously. We’ve had plenty of MJO treks into phase 8/1 produce nothing. There’s an outside chance at something D7-8 but a lot needs to go right.

Def need to speed up that southern stream just a bit and it would probably pull this storm back in for a hit. Of course, that’s simplistic “all else equal”...other variables could change too.

Keep getting waves of aggregates when these heavier bands go over. They last for like 10-15 min and then it lightens. Rinse repeat

Nice fatties falling

Nowhere in the east can match the presidentials for Mountain Views. They remind me of some of the views out west. Obviously for living though, people will weigh different aspects of the area. Berkshires def have their own charm. If you’re into breweries/restaurants/bars/etc, up north is no match for the Berkshires. I don’t weigh that kind of stuff very heavily though so I love that western ME to N NH area more.

Just weekends or Saturday I think.

Getting a bit blocky up in Canada. Things can happen when that occurs.

No, they hit 0F exactly. This would be two years in a row not getting below 0F. It happens about 10% of the winters historically. But it’s been more like 25% since 1990. Last time it happened back to back though was 2000-2001 and 2001-2002.

Anything near the Holden line is going to be good....it's all 600-800+ feet there and NW side. That's where the snow retention is and where the icing events are more noticeable. Often night and day there vs like Webster Square or downtown.

Same ridge placement as April '97. Tight squeeze....esp in early March, but it is plausible.

I've already marked the ORH map for him to show him the best spots in the city.

Yeah the OP Euro was somewhat interesting there. Wouldn't take a big change to wrap that into New England. You need that trough to dig further southwest and try to phase with southern stream.

Hes actually on the opposite side of town down south where I am on the northwest corner almost in Ashland/Hopkinton and more elevated so I'd be a bit higher naturally. I can def say if an area is getting a lot of sun during the day it is likely under 7". He did make this comment:

Yeah he posted pics there from last May and it was like over a foot of powder....like 2 days after the snow happened, lol. Apparently the snow depths in that area are legendary for the brae riders who get out that far. Always hard to say what an area would average when there's nothing close by to compare it to, but it looks like it would be at least as good as Diamond Pond, NH for upslope (slightly different optimal flows, but net benefit at least the same I'd think?) plus they probably do significantly better than places like Diamond Pond on synoptic snow. They would get topo assist on those types of flows too. Given Diamond Pond averaged 230" in its short existence, prob not that much of a leap to think Kibby is 300+

Yeah you couldn't see any of that grass line even 3 days ago....it's amazing how fast the sun works on those edges this time of the year. Full blown Tip nape season.

A house up the road had a snow blower path across their front lawn and it has widened now into a massive gap just splitting the lawn in half. Amazing how much assistance it gives the sun these days when there are darker spots.

Lol that isn't me.