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ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. I think it's happened more recently....we had some pretty nice springs for a while from '08-'12 and then we kind of paid the piper back....though last year wasn't bad. But we had some horrific ones back in 2020, 2018, 2016.
  2. Lol...that was an epic IPA-infused meltdown you had. I was claiming the final week of the month looked cold and that this month would end up colder than 2021, 2020, and 2016 and you absolutely lost it. Powderfreak had a perfect breakdown of it...I'd have to go back and find it.
  3. That's been signaled for a a few cycles now...as soon as I saw that westward NAO block slowly decaying on ensemble guidance, i was thinking "here comes the wheel o 'rhea".....hopefully there's enough cold to make it snow instead of 37F rain and drizzle like would happen 2+ week later in the spring. April '96 had a similar look with that ULL spinning in place that managed to produce 2 storms out of the same trough....so you never know.
  4. The CAD is pretty deep....so you may get some sleet....the sfc winds are not strong and out of the E or NE. It will be interesting to see your obs.
  5. Wow thats a solid 3-4F step change. Makes sense now on that +8 monthly anomaly....tossed.
  6. Just give us one more good snow event....it's already a lock to be shitty and cold so we might as well cash in sometime next week or next weekend.
  7. No it's still there. Very blocky look for month-end. There's nothing imminent though, so not really worth commenting too much. There's an outside chance at something around D5-6 (there's some wave-spacing issues though), but I think the better chance is more like D8-10 assuming the block holds....it could just lift out too though like the OP GFS did today.
  8. It's tough love...he's given many opportunities to tone down his posts but refuses to take the hints.
  9. Deep insight that can only be found on Americanwx Forums.
  10. Yeah that's a very deep H5 anomaly just south of us. Also, EPS/GEFS have a pretty nice 'rhea signal for early April with a decaying west-based -NAO.
  11. The reason you get a lot of resistance is for posts like these. Do you look at any data or just decide to post and hope it’s not spectacularly inaccurate? 1. There’s a decent chance that this March is actually colder than 2020 and 2021. Throw in 2016 too if you want yet another year that this one won’t beat post-2012. 2. All guidance is signaling a return to colder weather the final week of the month.
  12. How fast is it moving? Like 1mph? It was almost to the pike around noontime…and at 6pm, BAF-ORH-BOS all socked in with northerly wind flags.
  13. The clouds and precip are the big killers in spring. If it’s sunny, you can usually get away with a nice day unless it’s one of those strong CAA airmasses with lots of wind…then it sucks.
  14. It actually looks cold. Definitely could support a snow threat in the final week. But absent a snow threat it’s useless cold.
  15. We did worse, but I still had around 4" of paste or so. ORH had around 7".
  16. Yeah that's fine.....and I'm just telling you that you actually have no idea if we'll get another event or not....not that you will be wrong in your prediction. For your area, you are prob like 50/50 not to see any more accumulating snowfall....up where I am, I'm probably favored to see it again.
  17. My worst winter in the past 25 years actually had accumulating snowfall on 4/26.....April 26, 2000. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/2000/us0426.php
  18. The other winters were rats too....so yeah, this is unserious voodoo.
  19. Yeah, it's just weird he's using the logic "this winter has been bad, so that means any late season threat will fall apart" in a non-joking manner.....lol. I mean, we've had plenty of late season events in garbage winters (April 2020, April 2016 (2 events actually), late Mar and Apr 2007, late Mar 2002, Apr 1997, etc, etc)
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