ORH_wxman

Yeah I'm selling any snow here except maybe a touch at the end...not even sure if it's enough to accumulate.

Yeah 12 days from the equinox is equivalent to October 1st or OCtober 2nd sun angle.

I don't think SNE is required to get drenched for NNE to score here (well maybe southeast SNE would need to be)...this has a big longitude component to it. Could be the type of system where it's ripping snow in western MA and western CT right up into VT/NH/W ME while it's raining in eastern Maine

It's not going to be a big system I don't think....but there will be some 3-5" amounts I think in areas that get lucky banding while some other areas may have light snow at 33F that has trouble accumulating efficiently.

It has some good H7 fronto

There's some good crosshair sig in there too on a lot of these soundings.

This is looking pretty nice for NNE....we'll see how far southeast the snows can get into SNE. Here's 06z EPS

The 2013 firehose storm was great

You're cherry picking....White Tdays are not that common. Prob once every 5+ years for you. Sure, they are great when they happen....they just don't happen that often because the snow has to fall usually the day before or very close to Tday because snow torches away so fast in November when it does fall. Regardles, the debate is a total watse of time in this thread anyway. It's going to snow tomorrow whether people want it or not.

March snow lasts longer than November snow since November is a warmer month...and it's not close either. March is like 5-6 degrees colder than November on average. You might hate the sun angle in March but November is a furnace compared to March.

You’ll get snow too. It’ll be less than CT but prob a couple inches.

06z euro looked good again. Not a big difference from 00z that I saw on my phone.

00z euro has a really nice look for SNE on Wednesday. Nice banding look…esp from pike region into CT/RI

Wow 18z rgem hits the pike region hard. That’s getting almost to low end warning threshold. Definitely upped the ante from 12z.

18z NAM looked a bit south of 12z for Wednesday but the fronto sig might be a little better where the precip is. Someone from CT over to SE MA could score a little surprise with that. Maybe pike region too.

Dec '96 prob the last time, though Feb 24, 2010 and Dec 5, 2020 were very close. October 2011 too.

Gotta sneak in an elevation blue bomb like a week later after the WOR pounder.

Yeah this is true...some portions of the earth have been at war for prob 5000 years and probably will be for another 5k. Also, shoving like 10-15% of some of the strongest ideological portion of the population onto a platform like twitter and lighting a match is always going to make for a clown show that doesn't really reflect reality.

Phin/Alex over to SR/Sugarloaf get in on it too.

Prob an inch or so in lower elevations and 2-3" higher terrain if Euro verified.

Well it's already trending east.... But aside from just an upper level east trend, specifically in March, you have colder SSTs plus a cryo-generated cold source to the north which acts as an inhibitor to LL WAA versus a month like December....it acts to strengthen Tip's PPT configuration coming down the coast of Maine. It's why so many "modeled" nice days in spring turn into 40F and dogshit. So yeah, I'd expect it to trend more into a 40s and rain instead of 60F unless we can really wind this up to our west and have the low track over western NY. Still possible, but right now I'm betting against the prolonged warm sector.

It's March....you know where it's going to trend. Bury powderfreak while we get 42F and heavy rain for most of the storm.

Stop with the politics or I'm nuking this thread faster than the sleet line moves north in a SWFE

It depends how much production increases. It's hard to just "turn on" production because it won't be immediate. We need to drill more and that takes some time. It would prob take 6-12 months to see differences. We actually have pretty good production right now as a result of the massive increase in fracking in the last 7-10 years (we tripled our domestic oil production between mid-2000s and 2018). The big drop in oil prices between 2013 and 2015 was much in part due to the big supply increase on the market due to US fracking. We haven't really expanded drilling though in the past 3-5 years. The low crude oil prices post-2014 (until recently) have made new drilling more cost-prohibitive. A lot of rigs that made good money when oil was $75 per barrel in 2014 became harder to make money on when crude oil dropped below $50 per barrel. So many of the oil companies didn't drill new wells when prices went down. They just continued to pump from existing wells drilled in the 2012-2015 period. You could see market prices drop though if an expected increase in production was signaled. Market forces often respond to expectations in addition to just current supply.

Ukie and GGEM are trying to give NNE a lot of snow for the weekend system. They are flattening it out just a bit and pushing it east before it amplifies. The Ukie even gets decent snow into the northwest parts of SNE. Not really biting on those solutions yet, but something to watch. Hopefully NNE can get this colder to help with the March skiing.