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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Yeah once that streamer came overhead all hell broke loose. Still going right now. This is prob like 2” per hour stuff. Perfect LES type dendrites. Wind is packing it though so we won’t be getting 25 to 1 ratios.
  2. ORH_wxman
    Trying to capture it but I keep getting Ginxy cell phone quality pics
  3. ORH_wxman
    These are like lake effect dendrites in this.
  4. ORH_wxman
    Ok we have one of those streamers over us in addition to the band, and it’s absolutely pounding. Here’s the still frame
  5. ORH_wxman
    We’re in the meat of that band now. We’re on the eastern side according to radar but ground truth is a little east.
  6. ORH_wxman
    What are you up to? Looks like you’ll get double digits with the upslope added in over the next 12-24 hours.
  7. ORH_wxman
    It’s actually ripping in this band. Less than half mile vis.
  8. ORH_wxman
    Pattern gets kind of slow and blocky…not really huge arctic blocking per say, but bowling ball season with pseudo blocks in Canada…Tip alluded to this the other day. But this is showing up pretty strong on all ensemble guidance is we head into the equinox and beyond during the final week of March. So while we prance in the tulips a couple times next week, there’s a reasonable chance we haven’t seen our last accumulating snow…esp for interior.
  9. ORH_wxman
    There will be another band of light snow later but the heavy stuff is done.
  10. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I mentioned that earlier too. Prob not very heavy but could be a steady light to occasionally moderate snow late afternoon into early evening.
  11. ORH_wxman
    Yeah not impressed with radar down south. The changeover seems a bit faster than modeled but that is coming at the price of precip starting to shred quicker.
  12. ORH_wxman
    Mix line just about to ORH.
  13. ORH_wxman
    That’s a good sign. You might be able to pull a 6+ spot.
  14. ORH_wxman
    12z NAM looks super torchy and northwest. Hard to buy it though because it looks pretty bad down to the southwest. It has almost no snow it spots that are already flipping.
  15. ORH_wxman
    No there will be accumulations. Just not sure if it will be more than an inch or two. I guess we’ll just see how quickly it can flip.
  16. ORH_wxman
    NW CT and Berkshires are def gonna get hit really good. You can see it setting up really well for them. I wonder if near Danbury and Waterbury could be a sneaky good place. Esp areas above 500 feet. I wouldn’t be shocked to see solid advisory amounts there. Further southeast is a question mark.
  17. ORH_wxman
    Yeah we fight the dry air below 850. There could be a little burst close to 00z as the upper trough gets closer but otherwise I’m pretty meh on this for advisory snow or greater. I think there’s going to be a lot of 1-3” type amounts.
  18. ORH_wxman
    12z HRRR not impressed with SNE outside of Berkshires and NW CT.
  19. ORH_wxman
    Close call there. But I think hedging lower is the way to go on this one. Usually the west slopes of the Berkshires and NW CT are gonna clean up in a setup like this while out east the northwesterly flow starts drying out the atmosphere. So it becomes a race.
  20. ORH_wxman
    Prob would’ve been Dec 10, 2008
  21. ORH_wxman
    Yep. These are the events Kevin can get terrain enhancement on. He needs a westerly component or a southerly component where he is.
  22. ORH_wxman
    Kuchera (not posting 10 to 1 in this)
  23. ORH_wxman
    3km is actually snowier for SNE and more potent with the dynamics than 12z.
  24. ORH_wxman
    Yeah the dynamics look much better on that run....hopefully it plays out with stronger dynamics. Weak and strung out it not going to be as fun....even if it might get 1.5" of slush on the weak scenario versus 0.7" on the stronger scenario.
  25. ORH_wxman
    18z NAM going west a solid tick.
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