Torch Tiger

stay vigilant and safe.

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms, primarily capable of damaging wind gusts, are anticipated this afternoon and into the evening across portions of New England into eastern Pennsylvania, southern New York, and New Jersey. Though there is some uncertainty in the degree of convective organization and evolution, a severe thunderstorm watch could be warranted later this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Satellite and radar trends show convection developing across PA into NY in an environment characterized by moderate buoyancy (~1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE) and strong deep-layer shear (40-45 kt 0-6km). Though deep convection has yet to form, it is anticipated that as daytime heating and mixing continues, the environment will support strong, organized thunderstorm updrafts. Given long, straight hodographs and appreciable 0-1 km lapse rates approaching 8 C/km, along with seasonably high precipitable water content approaching 2.00 inches, the primary threat will be for damaging straight-line winds of 55-70 MPH within thunderstorm downdrafts. Hail or a brief tornado cannot be ruled out with any stronger, isolated organized convection that occurs, though low-level shear and mid-level lapse rates do not suggest that they are likely at this time.

90 seconds more than many of us

this is 14z, fairly similar for your hood

13z hrrr gets your area pretty good iirc

3k nam is pretty good central/east MA

brightening through the ovc here

we have all fall/winter for 40's and 50's with crisp air, not sure why anyone would root for that crap in mid-summer

the days will be mild with the decent sun angle, but the evenings/nights are certainly ugly

my guess is 12 to 15 for Hartford, however wouldn't be shocked if it's over that, 15+ easily doable.

hopefully everyone enjoyed the 24 hours of normal to slightly below temps/dews

always wanted to move south but the south moved here. sweet

very impressive and telling

acatt Boston has registered 120 hours with a dew point of 70 degrees or higher through July 15 – over two times as many hours compared to average, according to data compiled by Iowa State University.

Remember when, occasionally, we would hit 40's and 50's every summer. Multiple times

hopefully everyone survived the 50's

Is that the cran-club-vodka dryslut special

Everyone lives on the runway..a great majority

copium

Easy top 10 or even 5 but we only use BOS *

Anyway, there is an early fall feel in the air tonight. It's 70's but with the low dews and sunset, it's a noticeable change.

Ha

Yeah most likely. either way a memorable month awt

We'll see if the +'s outweigh the -'s at BOS. Could just be a wash and hang near top 10 (which is pretty much dead-on with my thoughts a few weeks ago)

the cold trolls struggling with this summer, trolling desperately, unsure how to deal with it. gold