Torch Tiger

AM disc So what about the rest of the day? Other than over the Cape and Islands as mentioned above, cloud cover continues to scatter out to more of a partial to mostly cloudy look, with peeks of sun to varying degrees. Modest W/WNW breezes to around 25 mph are possible in this post-frontal partial clearing period. I`d imagine sky and wind gust conditions probably take on a similar look for most of the day; until we see a bit more of an increase in cloud cover later this aftn and tonight as approaching upper low from the Gt Lakes moves in. That may bring some isolated to scattered showers into CT and southern RI late this aftn but no washouts. 4pm update So for tonight, the robust closed low over northern PA is expcted to move into the southern coastal waters through the late-evening hours. As this feature moves eastward, expect an increase/fill-back- in of cloud cover towards a mostly cloudy look. In addition there looks to be a pretty concentrated area of convective showers that mainly projects to affect the southern waters by sundown thru late evening, but could extend as far north as the Hartford-Providence- southeastern MA area. Because of the cold air aloft, steep low-level lapse rates could bring some convective enhancement with a narrow ribbon of 50-100 J/kg of MUCAPE in the NAM guidance; that may including the potential for graupel or perhaps a flash or two of lightning. Day Cloud Phase RGB imagery over PA was indicating some mixed phase glaciation to the current field of convective clouds, which could lend credence to this potential. Higher-res convective- permitting solutions really do blossom this region of heavier showers during the 22-04z timeframe, though most of it is over the southern coastal waters. Otherwise, dry weather is expected elsewhere through midnight.

a few light sprinkles/showers were mentioned in the afd iirc

That'd be chilly in January, but late March? lol

Bless your little heart

Remember they said cold, snowy March 18th to 25th. Bless their hearts

<1/2" on a car top? lol NWS ftw

Average highs are mid-U40's by mid-March, it'd be more like +15-20, but yeah that's a torch too.

It's fine to show LR anomalies, but I'd rather the overall trends as we move forward. I'd wager the "cold" shot(s) will tend moderate a bit as we get closer.

that looks like something you'd see April 15th

54.5 for the high, currently 52.1. gorgeous

This winter gets a B. Generally mild, a few screamers, and one pretty decent snowstorm. Very few nickel/dimes which is great. No complaints

well done

Nice color sky tonight, orange/Thanksgiving with setting sun <3

Yeah I'm not advocating people manually shovel 150' driveways. However on a primal level of a snow lover, there's nothing quite like manually shoveling and grueling away (without injury) <3

12z gfs is non-wintry for most; has this weekends potent Sunday cutter, a seasonable mostly dry week - then another cutter Saturday, D9ish.

btw 150' driveway, sounds like a property/buyer problem more than a shoveling/back problem. I digress.

for a price ...

if you shovel properly, use decent footwear, and aren't horribly out of shape, there is a 99.99999% chance you'll never hurt your back.

It's ripping!

Big dog underway!

whew thank god that's the cfs, and not a potentially semi-accurate model.

don't do it?

done worse..

impressive, wow