Jump to content

clskinsfan

Members
  • Posts

    10,013
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. Its the center of the countries politics. So people ONLINE tend to be very split. But not in real life. We are all just trying to survive until retirement. I read your post a bit ahead of here about your thoughts on a conflicted winter. One thing that has my interest are the sst cold anomalies in the north central Atlantic. They were there in 2009 as well. And we are seeing some signs of upwelling on the east coast already. Although the difference in ocean temp from 14 years ago is clear on the maps. The majority of my guess has to do with the tendency for storms to climb the coast this fall. And I am probably just a weenie looking for anything that reminds me of 09-10.
  2. 18z GFS is close to our first flakes out here in the Shenandoah Valley for Sunday night into Monday. Would be right on time for out this way. Something to watch at least.
  3. Good post Stormy. Nino's are going to give us tons of chances. No guarantee its all snow. But we are going to get our precip. 12Z run of the GFS has a train of storms through the entire run. With the STJ looking active towards the end of its run. They just arent going to track well for us yet. At least according to this run.
  4. I would take this look a month from now. Still not quite cold enough for it to work out. And the gfs ends up squashing this storm. But that look would be tasty from mid December on. Even a little signal of CAD on that run as well.
  5. What? Dude created the golden snow shovel ffs. He would literally take his entire segment to salivate about snow. I am sensing a whole bunch of Marylanders up in here who never watched him
  6. Both are great. But when it was time to weenie there was no better weenie than Bob. When it WAS time to have a weenie breakdown. Bob would deliver
  7. Can you imagine Bob Ryan right now though? His head would be exploding at the possibilities. i am serious. We are gonna get smacked this winter. At least once.
  8. Cold as hell......Thats my obs.
  9. BWI: 29.5 DCA: 21.5 IAD:34.5 RIC:15.5 Tiebreaker SBY: 11.5 MBY KOKV: 44.5 I am really feeling good about this winter. Storms have been wanting to ride the coast all fall. We are gonna have our chances. And if we are gonna get a big storm this is the year IMO. Clearly the background state Below 40n has changed a lot the past decade. And it may be we need bombs to get snowstorms in the future. This year mother nature is going to be dropping bombs.
  10. Those January analogs you used are straight up weenine heaven. I am with you. I am going big this year for just about everyone as well. Delmarva could be more rainy than they have been lately with storms hugging the coast. Excellent write up. Thanks for sharing.
  11. First flakes tomorrow night? Would be a little early.
  12. This right here. We are gonna have our chances this winter.
  13. Whoever usually starts the annual snowfall thread should probably get it started. We normally see our first flakes out this way by mid November. And there are some signs of possible flurries on Halloween night.
  14. This right here. If you go climo or under you will bust hard with one storm. Makes our area brutal to forecast. Bit also makes it special to live here. One storm changes everything. And when we get that one storm. We get obliterated. Especially out here. I would bet we get at least one bomb this year. I would bet a TON on it.
  15. Yeah. 18-28 is pretty meh here in all honesty. That would be one big storm.
  16. Not that it matters but I agree with DT as well. Especially with the overall pattern so far this fall. I probably sound like a broken record but storms want to climb the coast so far this fall. Temps are my only concern in all honesty. And that concern stems from having decent blocking events over the past couple of winters but no cold air making it down to us. But I would bet a ton on above normal precip for all of us this winter.
  17. Yep. Temps will probably always be a worry going forward. But you need storms at least to have a chance. I think we will have storms this year. Plenty of them.
  18. Storms continue to want to climb the coast this fall. I mentioned it a month ago in another thread. Everything has wanted to come up the coast for the past 2 months. We are going to have chances this winter. No guarantee any of this winters storms will be snowstorms. But I am going big for my winter forecast this year. At least for my area way west.
  19. Waiting for some friends to fly into Dulles. Or I would have already been down there.
×
×
  • Create New...