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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. First chance I have had to look at guidance today. The 12Z GFS was lining us up for a pummelling at the end of the run. The one take away for me is the train of storms stretching all the way across the Pacific. We are heading for a very stormy period. One of them has to score.
  2. No one even knows what "seasonable" means anymore. That is the problem.
  3. It seems to be that the new norm is all of the cold air being trapped on the wrong side of the hemisphere for us. This is like 5 winters in a row at this point. Historic cold in Siberia. It is getting old.
  4. Pretty bitter wind out here west of Winchester. Feels great.
  5. Had about 3/4 inch on my car when I left for work this morning at 6:30. Have no clue what the max was out here NW of Winchester. Just gonna go with .75 as my ob. Glad many got on the board. It's a good sign for the rest of the winter.
  6. No a few miles NW at elevation. No idea what is happening in town.
  7. 37/35 Some sleet mixing with rain now. Shouldnt be long for the flip.
  8. Best spot in Loudoun County for snow for sure. Enjoy.
  9. 40/38. Down 7 degrees in 2 hours. Pretty easy to see where the rain snow line is on this correlation coefficient capture:
  10. Flakes about 10 miles to my west near Capon Bridge on traffic cams. May start sooner here than I thought. Radar filling in nicely to the west as well. https://www.511virginia.org/
  11. Past hour of precip for you guys to the east was pretty nice.
  12. This right here. We have above average winters when we score Noreasters. Thats it. And Nino;s are where we normally get them.
  13. 47/45 light rain. Temps falling pretty quickly at this point.
  14. I am down to 54/53 with light rain from a high of 58
  15. 18Z HRRR is sweet for the Shenandoah Valley. Huge improvement.
  16. Radar looks juicy down on the Gulf coast. Should have plenty of moisture up here later. Not sure if the trajectory will work out for those of us to the west. But someone is gonna get some heavy rates up here at least.
  17. There just isnt really a cold air mass behind this front. Cold enough to snow? Sure I guess. But not cold at all.
  18. I dont really care about any of them at this point. I care about the radar. Thats about it.
  19. So far the 12z models seem to want to keep the surface warmer than they were last night. Soundings last night had snow falling with 33 degree temps at the surface here. 12z suite so far is 37-38.
  20. Yeah. NAM sucks for our area. Thank god is sucks as a weather model as well.
  21. 0z hrrr holds serve. Feeling pretty confident about getting an inch or two of mashed potatoes tomorrow night.
  22. Had to post this. If you are in my area this is music to your ears.
  23. I agree about the temps going in. But this sounding from my area is gorgeous. Would be a beatdown for a couple of hours at least.
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