GEFS looks fine to me. You can really start seeing all levels cool off in Canada as the run progresses. The 850 blowtorch up there is moderating a ton towards the end of the run. Cold air slowly bleeding south looks good to me.
Been trying to share a Facebook vid on here but cant get it to work. Go check out Ocean City COOLEST! Facebook page. SOme awesome vids of the ocean raging.
Drove home from Ocean City to Winchester early this morning. No rain the entire way. But fog was heavy up on the Bay Bridge and coming over the Blue ridge.
Its a transient 24 hour period man. I am talking about sustained cold. There is none. Run the entire 2M plot of the 12Z GFS. The 24 hour period you posted is just about it for cold through the entire run.
PSU said something a couple of pages back about it. We get flooded with PAC air constantly now. We will see over the next couple of months if ENSO means anything anymore.
Thing is it doesnt really matter. Because there is no cold air for it to pull down anyways. It is all trapped on the other side of the hemisphere. Seems to be the new norm.