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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. Not really sure why we have a banter thread at all. Fuck it. I am putting my imby posts back in the main thread.
  2. I mean the GFS is going to be a stone cold assassin. Not really buying the double low thing. But it is going to be a smashing.
  3. Precip shield responded to the confluence and is slightly south as well.
  4. No. I might literally cry for the first time 40 years.
  5. NAM also has more confluence in the NE than 12Z
  6. Gonna move this Wakefield update over here from the first storm thread. It is worth a watch if you have the time:
  7. I will try to keep my junk and imby posts in this thread going forward. Sorry I get excited about big storms. And it has been a decade.
  8. Position if anyone wants to follow it: https://www.flightaware.com/live/flight/TEAL74
  9. Really need to see soundings to see where that warm nose is if you cant see the 700 maps.
  10. NWS Wakefield update from a couple of hours ago:
  11. Does the old BUFKIT site still work. I used to have it bookmarked on an old laptop. But cant find it anymore.
  12. A couple pages back PSU gave the explanation to me. The 50/50 moving out quickly because of not ideal blocking.
  13. For what it's worth DT agrees with you. He's saying 20+ for the Shen Valley and Western Md. Possibly pushing east of the Blue Ridge. Really worried about the temps over the next couple weeks. Lots of retired folks out this way that are going to need help digging out.
  14. Its actually dangerous imo. Especially for the areas that are getting freezing rain out of this. Power outages at those temps is no joke.
  15. Well that is certainly disheartening.
  16. Yeah. it keeps the upper levels below zero for the duration DC and NW. Regardless, you are going to get hammered with the front end thump even if it does flip. Really nice storm for you too.
  17. It's frigid for 2 weeks after that. Snow covered ground for a month probably.
  18. 1.5 QPF at those temps is probably realistically pushing 20 inches out here. I still think we will mix out here as well though. Insane run.
  19. Man. That is a catastrophic ice storm for southern VA. Temps in the low 20s during that freezing rain.
  20. Just looking at the AI temp panels and it does push the 700 temps close to freezing just south of DC. My wag is it is all snow from DC north and west.
  21. If anybody wants DT's most recent take here it is:
  22. Would probably snizzle for a while after the thump and dry slot. I'll take it.
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