I used to be like you. Then I watched south and east of me get hit for the past 5 winters I while smoked cirrus. I dont discount seasonal trends anymore.
The ICON should have been more tucked than it was with that 500 representation. It is really close to Euro. And the GFS took a step in that direction as well. This thing has real legs now.
Not sure I have ever seen this much of the country covered in snow before. Amazing satellite looks this morning!
https://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=4412e01f2b1441d49540043555cdf22e