You will be fine. You will either have rain or smoking cirrus if I had to bet. My WAG is a breezy winter day. You should have come 2 months from now for the Cherry blossom's instead.
Yeah. But without an inverted trough none of us (except the Eastern Shore) get snow from those LP positions. Although that aligns really well with the past decade. So there is that.
Everything is looking pretty similar as far as precip goes. There are differences on how the models get there. And the GEM is a major outlier. But I think its at least a pretty safe bet that we are going to see some snow at least.
Whether you are at UVA or Farifax you dont want what the GFS is showing. It would most likely jump you at either one of those spots as well. Although what is being depicted has been the norm lately. So it is what it is.