Tough call for your area. My wag is a thump followed by a nasty ice storm down there. I hope you get a couple inches of snow up front before the ice. Will make cleanup much easier.
GFS and CMC are very similar in having no stop in precip out this way between waves. Snow to sleet to freezing drizzle and then dry slot. Ends up being 36 hour of frozen precip.
I think it ticks north a touch. They all do. But the jack is going to be south. People need to accept this. The modelling is pretty consistent on that.