clskinsfan
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Everything posted by clskinsfan
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RGEM still didnt flinch on track. sub 1000 just north of OC. A bit warmer in the upper levels. But it refuses to change storm track for like 65 days straight. EDIT: And that 12 inch lolli NW of Winchester is real close to @EastCoast NPZ old home.
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I think most east of the fall line would take sleet on snow over rain though. NAM is most likely full of crap. But that is probably an acceptable outcome for most.
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Bwahahahaha! You see that pink 10 inch lolli NW of Winchester? Thats where @EastCoast NPZ lived last year. You cant make this shit up.
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NAM actually caved to what the RGEM has been advertising for the past 3 days.....
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Winchester PUMMELLED and beat to death. Gotta ride that line.
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NAM'd like a mofo. Bring it.
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I know you have been screwed a lot the past few years. But you are gonna get more than 4 at your new house. I will be completely shocked if I am wrong. These are the storms I promised you that your move would cash in on.
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True. But I get his point.
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Yes. They are not quite at the point to be correct about micro climates. But they have gotten much better about incorporating elevation into them. Especially the Blue Ridge. Getting better all of the time.
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Rgem just refuses to budge at all. It's going to go down in flames most likely. But it is a stubborn bastard man.
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CMC still a coastal hugger. But thermals got crushed. Still a 6 inch event out this way. But not as good as it was.
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GFS colder this run heading into the event. Looks like a nice thump.
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It hasnt altered its track for days. Thermals? Sure. But you would expect that.
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Right or wrong it refuses to budge. Sub 1000 over OC again. Been basically the same for days at this point.
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That we see snow? Very. That we get 8+? Not at all. The 3k manages to hold on to the column through the entire event out here. It is close at 20z. But that is a solid thumping going on at that time. My wag is a 4-6 event with some 8 inch lollis out on the ridges.
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3k Temps and Dews just before precip starts. I think its going to be close for the metros. But I think it would start as snow there as well.
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You will get snow. The dew points and temps out here heading in are good. It's not gonna be the foot+ that was being spit out by the models a couple of days ago. But it will snow out here.
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3k Dews are nice heading into the event. Dont like extrapolating the NAM's obviously. But I think it would have had a nice thump at least for everyone.
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It actually has .1 more for DC this run
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RGEM 996 over OC this run. A touch warmer. But it basically hasnt flinched for multiple runs now.
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NAM trying to bring some wrap around out this way too. Also a pretty strong ULL there as well. Interesting run.
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Just block him already. You will be much saner.
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Storm thread NAM: 10 minutes later RGEM:
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The GEM's have been the most consistent models. Now they could be consistently wrong. But they have basically been rock solid on their depiction.
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I see the Reaper @WxWatcher007 is here to mow the weenies down and stack them up.
